「華人戴明學院」是戴明哲學的學習共同體 ,致力於淵博型智識系統的研究、推廣和運用。 The purpose of this blog is to advance the ideas and ideals of W. Edwards Deming.

2010年10月31日 星期日

開創與利用/ Exploration and Exploitation

Working paper: Accountability and Control as Catalysts for Strategic Exploration and Exploitation: Field Study Results
Download the PDF. The need for organizations to both exploit current resources and explore new opportunities is a central and long-standing theme in the literature of organizations. The challenge, of course, is that these two imperatives require very different structures and skills. Exploitation demands a focus on efficiency and effectiveness in executing preset plans and procedures. Exploration requires the ability to step outside these routines by emphasizing experimentation, creativity, and novelty. In this study, HBS professor Robert L. Simons focuses on the relationship between two organization design variables: span of control and span of accountability. Using data from 102 field studies, he illustrates how these variables can be manipulated by managers to tilt the balance toward either exploration or exploitation in response to different tasks, different organizational contexts, and changing competitive environments.

2010年10月30日 星期六

mottoes (2)

http://www.answers.com/Goldwin%20%20Smith

Goldwin Smith is credited with the quote "Above all nations is humanity," an inscription that was engraved in a stone bench he offered to Cornell in May 1871. The bench sits in front of Goldwin Smith Hall, named in his honor. This quote is the motto of the University of Hawaii and other institutions around the world (for example, the Cosmopolitan Club at the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign[6]).

After his death, a plaque in his memory was erected outside his birthplace in the town centre of Reading. This still exists, outside the entrance to the Harris Arcade.[7]

2010年10月29日 星期五

Ackoffs Fables: Irreverent Reflections on Business and Bureaucracy

irreverent


Ackoffs Fables: Irreverent Reflections on Business and Bureaucracy

Russell L. Ackoff (Author)

Ackoffs Fables: Irreverent Reflections on Business and Bureaucracy

Editorial Reviews

Product Description

The author summarizes his experience as a management consultant in a series of fables designed to expose narrow thinking, muddle-headedness and complacency in business. He has previously written "Management in Small Doses" and "The Art of Problem Solving".

From the Publisher

``Nothing is as obstructive to satisfaction of human needs and desires, let alone human progress, as bureaucracies.'' So goes Russell Ackoff's philosophy on human development. While relating wry observations made during a long career promoting human development, Ackoff demonstrates how most systems created to foster development actually prevent or retard it. You'll laugh at these war stories, but more importantly, you'll learn how to maximize your own personal development or that of your company by beating obstructive systems.

Product Details

  • Hardcover: 240 pages
  • Publisher: John Wiley & Sons Inc; First Edition edition (April 1991)
  • Language: English
  • ISBN-10: 0471531944
  • ISBN-13: 978-0471531944
  • Product Dimensions: 8.9 x 6.2 x 1.1 inches
  • Shipping Weight: 1 pounds


irreverent

adj.
  1. Lacking or exhibiting a lack of reverence; disrespectful.

[形]不敬な, 非礼な
an irreverent reply
不敬な返答.
  1. Critical of what is generally accepted or respected; satirical: irreverent humor.
irreverently ir·rev'er·ent·ly adv.

2010年10月28日 星期四

成就的祕訣:金剛經

系統與變異 一書應該有引 星雲的 故事
可是我沒作索引

今天的這篇或可取代


成就的祕訣:金剛經

年輕時我就養成習慣,隨時思考:倘若將來有機會辦雜誌,該如何編排充實的內容;倘若有機會傳法,該講些什麼內容;我從來不在因緣不具足的時候,只是空等、徬徨、悲觀……

圖/潘昀珈
只要相信心的力量,每天往好的方向想,想這件事一定會做成功,想該如何能夠做得成功,每天眼睛睜開都覺得很有希望,不停去做,就一定會完成。

世間事業的失敗經常就是因緣不具,因此培養因緣,是人生成功最大的祕訣。所謂「諸法因緣生」,一切事業都要有資金、土地、市場、計畫、文宣、人才等等,任 何因緣的缺少,事業就不容易成就。所以,受困的時候,不必怨天尤人,要與人結緣,眼裡有人,才能把人做好,把人做好,才容易與人廣結善緣,以自己的能力發 心,迴向給別人,把自己融入到其他的因緣之中,將來因緣具足,就能有所成就。

許多事情都在很艱難的環境中完成,但我自己不覺得難,別人不敢想的我都願意鼓起勇氣去嘗試,碰到挫折不放棄,佛法講因緣,因緣和合而成,因緣不具,一切事 情皆難成。所以,因緣不具足時,就等待因緣或創造諸善緣。只要最終決定要做,我會向弟子們解釋必要性及重要性,不輕易屈從多數人的反對。

有一年,資深記者陸鏗來訪,有朋友對他說:「你要去勸勸大師,佛教辦報紙是不可能的事,千萬不要做。」結果一席長談,陸鏗非但沒有讓我打消主意,反而被我說服在《人間福報》開一個專欄。

年輕時我就養成習慣,隨時思考:倘若將來有機會辦雜誌,該如何編排充實的內容;倘若有機會傳法,該講些什麼內容;我從來不在因緣不具足的時候,只是空等、 徬徨、悲觀,我傾聽,從無相布施的過程當中,向世間眾生萬事萬物學習,累積經驗智慧,一旦機緣成熟,不論創建道場或興辦學校,一切構想、程序、細節早已成 竹在胸,自然能夠順利進行。

佛陀每每在宣講法音妙諦時,首先必須具備六種因緣的成就,像《金剛經》的開頭:

信成就──大眾對聞法的信心已經建立了。(如是)
聞成就──大眾都已具備聞法的福德資糧。(我聞)
時成就──講說的時節因緣已經成熟。(一時)
主成就──說法主正歡喜地演說妙法。(佛)
處成就──法會的地點非常的合適。(舍衛國祇樹給孤獨園)
眾成就──聞法的信眾都集合到齊。(大比丘眾千二百五十人俱)

要啟建一場法會,必須有六種因緣的成就。我們今日讀《金剛經》難道不是殊勝的因緣?我們每個人的生存,都要感謝世間的因緣,感謝別人成就我們,這是多麼值得歡喜讚嘆!宇宙間萬事萬物都是因緣和合而成。

佛經裡一概沒有交代講經的年月日時間,都用「一時」來交代。為什麼佛典不明確表明時間?因為所謂的時間概念,不過是緣於眾生業感果報不同。例如:地球上每 一個國家的時間都不一樣,台灣的時間是下午一點鐘,美國卻還是凌晨。一個地球因為地域不同,就有「時差」的分別。佛經的「一時」泯除眾生對有限時空的觀 念。只要我們和佛能夠一心合會,就算只是「一時」感應,在法性裡卻是亙古無窮的受用。

《長阿含經》裡有個吹法螺的故事,可以用來比喻因緣和合的關係。

很久以前,有個村落裡的人從沒有聽過吹法螺的聲音。有一天,一個善於吹法螺的年輕人,來到這個村落拿起法螺吹了三聲,然後把法螺放在地上,村莊裡的男男女 女聽到這聲音,都十分驚奇,紛紛跑來問這個年輕人:「你吹的是什麼聲音,怎麼如此婉轉悅耳啊?」年輕人指著法螺回答:「是這個東西發出聲音。」村民們用手 碰觸法螺說:「喂!你可以再發出聲音來嗎?」法螺卻默然不響。

年輕人再拿起法螺,又吹了三聲。村民們才恍然大悟:「優美悅耳的聲音,並非是法螺的力量,必須要有手、嘴、氣彼此合作,法螺才能發出聲音!」

管理的最高境界是心的管理。佛光山以人間佛教的信念凝聚眾人,僧團教團的成長,是每個人「發心」慈悲、奉獻自己的心力,集體創作而成,不是任何一個個人的力量能單獨完成。因為人間佛教的信念,就是利益眾生,歡喜無悔,所以不管再怎麼辛苦,都心甘情願。

以用錢來說,人人都知道「十方來,十方去」,了解分毫都來自眾生的布施,所以要善加運用,活動或專案,往往能低於預算完成。再例如人力資源,在共同的理念目標下,只要對大眾有益,就能「發心」,心甘情願投入心力,這一點恐怕是許多的民間企業都很難做到,而這就是無我度生。

《成就的祕訣:金剛經》書影。
(圖/有鹿文化提供)
一 般人看《金剛經》,從頭到尾都沒有提到「發心」二字,但是經云:「若卵生、若胎生、若濕生、若化生;若有色、若無色;若有想、若無想、若非有想非無想,我 皆令入無餘涅槃而滅度之!」要發心度化那麼多眾生,不是給眾生吃飯、穿衣就有功德,而是讓眾生能夠解脫,「如是滅度無量無數無邊眾生」。佛陀不以為眾生是 他能度的,因為,眾生本來就是佛,佛陀只是依因緣度化,佛陀不居功德、不住功德,這就是「發心」,而且是發廣大心、發無對待心、發無顛倒心、發平等心,真 是無限的大心!

十七歲時,我染患瘧疾,乍冷乍熱,極為難受。當時在叢林參學的人,都抱定把色身託付給護法龍天的決心,即使得了疾病,也從未聽過有人請假休息。我拖著虛弱 的病體隨眾作息,直至全身虛脫倒臥在床上。大約一個月後,家師志開上人遣人送來半碗鹹菜,我捧著那碗鹹菜,感動得涕泗縱橫,感謝師父如此愛護弟子。於是, 我立下誓願:「在有生之年,我一定要將全副身心奉獻給佛教,以報答師恩。」不久,我的病就痊癒了。

這一輩子,為了普及佛教,我不曾放棄向自己革命,因緣不具足的時候,我不會只是枯坐等待因緣,有時,要有能力變通,組合各方力量,創造動力,發揮影響力。 佛陀不是向外革別人的命,而是向內革自己的命,我一直願意學習佛陀向內革命的精神,改變自己的觀念、滅除習氣,不斷更新。

人要做海綿,不停學習吸收;不要做塑膠袋,滴水不透。

【2010/10/28 聯合報】@ http://udn.com/

The Power of Customers’ Mindset

Marketing

The Power of Customers’ Mindset

By Kelly Goldsmith, Jing Xu and Ravi Dhar

September 15, 2010

Are your customers in a concrete or abstract mindset as they think about purchasing your product? The answer can affect how much they buy.


Every day consumers make purchase decisions by choosing among large sets of related products available for sale in the aisles of stores. What factors might systematically affect how consumers make decisions among an array of products? Our research explores one aspect of that question.

As most marketers realize, not all shoppers are created equal. Within the same store, one may be searching for a specific product to meet an immediate need, while others may simply be browsing. Just as they can have different goals when they enter a store, individual consumers may approach purchase decisions with different mindsets that can affect how they shop. In social psychology, a mindset is defined as a set of cognitive processes and judgmental criteria that, once activated, can carry over to unrelated tasks and decisions. In other words, if you get a consumer thinking a certain way, that way
of thinking — that mindset — can influence his or her subsequent shopping behavior.

In particular, social psychologists have identified two distinct mindsets that are relevant to how consumers make decisions when choosing among large sets of related products: abstract and concrete. An abstract mindset encourages people to think in a more broad and general way. Consumers in an abstract mindset who face an array of related products will focus more on the shared product attributes associated with an overarching purpose — for example, the general category of hair care or car maintenance. Conversely, a concrete mindset draws attention to lower-level details and attributes associated with execution or usage; consumers in a concrete mindset will thus focus on factors that differentiate between products.

In our research, we examined how abstract versus concrete mindsets affected consumers’ purchase decisions. (The research results are described in detail in a working paper called “The Role of Abstract and Concrete Mindsets on the Purchase of Products from Adjacent Categories.”) In a series of experiments, we found that mindset matters. When consumers must decide whether or not to make purchases from a variety of related but different product categories — such as toothpaste, mouthwash and dental floss in an array of oral care products — an abstract mindset increases the number of products consumers select. But the reverse occurs when consumers choose among products that are similar enough that consumers could substitute one for another — such as a variety of beverages. In those cases, a concrete mindset increases the number of products consumers want to buy.

In the experiments, we first used exercises that prior research has suggested should help establish an abstract or a concrete mindset — such as asking some participants to write about a year from now (an assignment likely to induce an abstract mindset) while others were asked to write about tomorrow (which is likely to induce a concrete mindset). We then compared the purchase intent — and in some experiments, actual purchases — of consumers in an abstract versus concrete mindset. We found that it is not a question of one mindset being better than the other at increasing consumers’ likelihood of purchase. Instead, the effect of concrete and abstract mindsets varied with the type of product arrays from which consumers were choosing.

Specifically, when faced with a choice among different types of products that relate to the same overarching goal — for example, the various kinds of products available in the oral care aisle — having an abstract mindset, rather than a concrete one, increased the number of products purchased. This presumably occurred because an abstract mindset draws attention to the higher-level purpose — in this case, oral care — which in turn increased consumers’ interest in all means serving that goal — toothbrush, floss, etc. — and thereby increased the total number of products consumers wanted to purchase.

However, when consumers chose among products that were similar enough to be substituted for one another — such as an array of beverages — an abstract mindset decreased interest in purchasing additional products when compared to a concrete mindset. That is because an abstract mindset leads to a focus on the higher-level goal — such as satisfying one’s thirst — and, presumably, to the fact that one beverage is sufficient to satisfy that abstract goal. Conversely, consumers with a concrete mindset focused on the differentiating factors between products — and were thus likely to select a greater number of substitutable products than their abstract-focused counterparts did.

These findings have two clear and straightforward implications for managers: To increase sales, companies should consider matching or manipulating the mindset of the consumer.

Matching the Mindset. The nature of the retailer or the types of products offered may naturally promote a more abstract or concrete mindset upon which businesses can capitalize. In some cases, consumers may tend to approach a retailer planning to make purchases for distant future use; for example, consumers may be evaluating furniture that will be delivered in a number of weeks. The literature on abstract versus concrete mindsets suggests that when consumers consider products for distant future use, they may naturally be in a more abstract mindset than consumers who are evaluating products for immediate consumption. Our research suggests that retailers who recognize that their products may promote distant future considerations (and thus a more abstract mindset) may increase sales if they organize their product offerings in a way that highlights their products’ relationship to a common higher-order goal. For example, a furniture retailer might group products in a way that showcases how different types of furniture all share the benefit of adding comfort and warmth. Conversely, for retailers such as snack vendors who recognize that their products promote fairly immediate use and hence a more concrete mindset, grouping similar, substitutable snack products together should help maximize consumers’ purchase rates.

Manipulating the Mindset. While matching the mindset may be an effective strategy for retailers whose goods naturally promote a distinct mindset, for many retailers the variety of products they offer is such that no clear mindset predominates. For these retailers, manipulating consumers’ mindset as they view specific sets of products may be one effective way to increase purchase rates.

Imagine a retailer offering a large set of related but different products in an oral care aisle. Our findings suggest that, to increase sales, that retailer should consider promoting a more abstract mindset as consumers make their product considerations. For example, managers could implement promotions highlighting the individual products’ relatedness to the overarching, higher-level purpose (i.e., oral care, as opposed to simply clean teeth) in order to increase consumers’ propensity to purchase more types of oral-care products. Conversely, for a retailer offering a large set of substitutable products, such as drinks in a beverage aisle, the opposite suggestion holds. In-store communications promoting a more concrete mindset — by stressing the individual and unique benefits of various products — could be used to increase total sales.

While we believe our work suggests important practical implications for retailers, future research is necessary to fully explore and understand the observed effects. We hope that the current research will prompt future inquiry into this area.

(Reprint # 52112)

Kelly Goldsmith is an assistant professor of marketing at the Kellogg School of Management at Northwestern University in Evanston, Illinois. Jing Xu is an assistant professor of marketing at the Guanghua School of Management of Peking University in Beijing. Ravi Dhar is George Rogers Clark Professor of Management and Marketing at the Yale School of Management at Yale University in New Haven, Connecticut.

Acknowledgments

The authors thank the International Commerce Institute and Unilever for a research grant that supported this project.

Evidence for a Collective Intelligence Factor in the Performance of Human Groups

Originally published in Science Express on 30 September 2010
Science 29 October 2010:
Vol. 330. no. 6004, pp. 686 - 688
DOI: 10.1126/science.1193147

Reports

Evidence for a Collective Intelligence Factor in the Performance of Human Groups

Anita Williams Woolley,1,* Christopher F. Chabris,2,3 Alex Pentland,3,4 Nada Hashmi,3,5 Thomas W. Malone3,5

Psychologists have repeatedly shown that a single statistical factor—often called "general intelligence"—emerges from the correlations among people’s performance on a wide variety of cognitive tasks. But no one has systematically examined whether a similar kind of "collective intelligence" exists for groups of people. In two studies with 699 people, working in groups of two to five, we find converging evidence of a general collective intelligence factor that explains a group’s performance on a wide variety of tasks. This "c factor" is not strongly correlated with the average or maximum individual intelligence of group members but is correlated with the average social sensitivity of group members, the equality in distribution of conversational turn-taking, and the proportion of females in the group.


What makes some groups perform better than others?

A new study published in Science found that three factors were significantly correlated with a group’s collective intelligence — in other words, its ability to perform a variety of tasks collectively, from solving puzzles to negotiating.

The three factors are: the average social sensitivity of the members of the group, the extent to which the group’s conversations weren’t dominated by a few members, and the percentage of women in the group. (The women in the study tended to score higher on social sensitivity than the men.) In other words, groups perform better on tasks if the members have strong social skills, if there are some women in the group, and if the conversation reflects more group members’ ideas. The groups studied were small teams with two to five members.

Interestingly, the researchers found that collective intelligence wasn’t strongly correlated with the average intelligence of the individuals in the group — or with the intelligence of the smartest person in the group. They also found, as they wrote in Science, ”that many of the factors one might have expected to predict group performance — such as group cohesion, motivation, and satisfaction — did not.”

2010年10月27日 星期三

大驚小怪集 2


聲量小。如:「他們兩個大嗓門不知在講些什麼祕密,此刻竟然以低調交談。」
不願張揚。如:「因此事太過敏感,雙方都以低調的態度來處理。」

一位卓越的企業領導者,不見得必須是叱吒風雲的領導大腕。多做事、少說話的「沉默領導者」,也能在商場上發揮關鍵的影響力。沉靜領導者用實力證明:不必大聲喧嘩,也能讓世人看見卓越。

過去,備受世人擁戴的「領導大腕」,叱吒風雲、信奉英雄主義式的管理方式,「控制」和「競爭」是他們字典裡最重要的座右銘。然而隨著安隆案醜聞的揭露、次貸風暴下華爾街金融集團的衰敗,都讓各界重新省思卓越領導者的風範,究竟應該具備何種條件。

多做事少說話

著有《我們不需要另一個英雄》的哈佛商學院教授巴德拉克(Joseph Badaracco Jr.)提出了「沉靜領導」(Leading Quietly)的全新概念。根據巴德拉克的實地訪查經驗,最實際的領導者,通常都不是英雄型人物,而是多做事、少說話的沉默英雄。

相較於重視行動、速度、競爭和魄力等外向性格的領導者,沉靜領導者懂得採用細小、謹慎的步驟來解決複雜的問題。沉靜領導者從來就不是鎂光燈前的媒體寵兒, 也沒有傳統英雄式的鮮明形象與領袖魅力;面對危機時,他們或許不像「偉大領導人」那般以戲劇化的方式力挽狂瀾,卻能憑藉著腳踏實地的苦幹精神,審慎、妥善 地處理所有問題。沉靜領導者還會時時保持謙遜,尊重並關懷組織中每一個成員的需求。

謹慎謙遜專業

全球知名刮鬍刀品牌吉列(Gillette)前執行長馬可勒(Colman Mockler)就是個沉默寡言的溫文紳士。在他擔任執行長期間,曾經遭遇三次惡意收購。馬可勒大可以接受數十億美元的收購金,再賣掉手中持股大賺一票, 但他卻選擇繼續為公司未來奮戰,並投注大筆資金研發感應式刮鬍刀這個新產品。

最後,感應式刮鬍刀不僅成為歷史上最暢銷的刮鬍刀之一,更帶動吉列市值攀上歷史新高。

在員工的眼中,馬可勒個性柔軟,卻柔中帶剛;沉默審慎,但絲毫不示弱。他選擇了一條辛苦但踏實的研發之路,要讓吉列蛻變成卓越企業。

吉姆‧柯林斯(Jim Collins)在暢銷書《從A到A+》中提及,領導力分成五個等級,第五級領導人(level 5 leadership)結合了謙遜的個性(personal humility)和專業的堅持(professional will),因此能建立組織最好的績效。這樣具有內斂、謙遜性格的第五級領導人,和沉靜領導人的特質不謀而合。

國內僅次於台塑集團的石化公司——長春石化集團掌門人林書鴻,可說是第五級領導人的最佳典範。有著低調謙虛特質的林書鴻,只接受過一家平面媒體專訪,加上長春石化未掛牌上市,平常幾乎沒看過有關他們的消息。

求勝穩紮穩打

市值超過千億元、每年賺超過好幾個股本的長春石化,從不作公關、也不打廣告,正符合林書鴻低調的行事風格。科班出身的林書鴻,有著高度專業的技術背景,因 此在拓展事業版圖時,選擇跨進有著高技術門檻的熱固型塑膠領域。林書鴻不求躁進的經營理念,也讓長春站穩在石化業的地位。

全球最大鞋業王國——寶成集團總裁蔡其瑞,也充分展現沉靜領導人的特質。旗下擁有數十萬名員工的蔡其瑞,個性沉著、絲毫未顯任何霸氣。在員工和媒體眼中,蔡其瑞總是維持一貫的謙遜態度,不愛自誇張揚,強調自己只是扮演集團營運的規劃、運籌角色。

沉靜領導人天生謙卑的態度,絕不代表他們就是軟弱、性格溫和的好好先生,面對挑戰時,他們會有堅強的意志與強烈企圖心,並盡一切努力創造最卓越的績效。因此沉靜領導人追求高標準的企圖心,仍會讓員工甘願跟隨。

對於沉靜領導者來說,領導是一種過程、是一條長遠的道路,在他們身上也許看不到戲劇化的逆轉勝,卻可以感受到他們一步步穩紮穩打的用心歷程。

職場上中階、基層主管或一般員工,其實都可以巧妙運用沉靜領導之道——謙遜、冷靜思考、客觀分析、時刻反省,來面對職場上棘手問題與兩難處境,以尋求最適切的處理辦法。





-----

台灣總是趕用時髦無知語
所以什麼「藍海策略」什麼「軟實力」滿天飛 成天自我"逃" 醉


*****

這位先生是戴明圈內的人
  1. Gingrich for 2012?
    The conservative icon signals that he is mulling a presidential run.
    Read original story in The Washington Post | Friday, Oct. 29, 2010




****
我在等待台北的解釋:

台北"劫"運! 新生高案 被告楊錫安60萬交保 /兩線當機乘客跳腳


***

Indonesian Tsunami Warning System Failed

A warning system put in place after 2004's devastating tsunami in Indonesia failed to alert residents to an approaching 10-foot wave that destroyed Indonesian villages on Monday, reports Sky News. The Indonesian early warning system—two buoys that detect sea level changes—stopped functioning a month ago, according the head of Indonesia's Meteorology and Geophysics Agency. The system was only completed in 2008, and less than a year later, it was experiencing problems. "We do not have the expertise to monitor the buoys to function as intended," the agency chief said. Another official said the buoys had been tampered with. "They were vandalized and the equipment is very expensive. It cost us five billion rupiah each ($560,000)," an official from the Indonesian Agency for the Assessment and Application of Technology told the Daily Telegraph. Either way, villagers from the Mentawi islands say no sirens went off to let them know the giant wave was on its way. The death toll from the incident now stands at 311, with hundreds of people still missing and 20,000 villagers driven from their homes.

戴明博士的章訓背後的故事 (1)

Deming, W. E. 1993. The New Economics For Industry, Government & Education. Cambridge: Massachusetts Institute of Technology Center for Advanced Engineering Study.


有一章是
Josh Billings
的引言

Josh Billings 是美國第二有名的幽默家
我在
Autobiography of Andrew Carnegie
讀到的這則故事更可以代表"戴明哲學"


After seating themselves, the stranger said he was part owner in a gold mine in California, and explained that there had been a dispute about its ownership and that the conference of partners broke up in quarreling. The stranger said he had left, threatening he would take the bull by the horns and begin legal proceedings. "The next morning I went to the meeting and told them I had turned over Josh Billing's almanac that morning and the lesson for the day was: 'When you take the bull by the horns, take him by the tail; you can get a better hold and let go when you've a mind to.' We laughed and laughed and felt that was good sense. We took your advice, settled, and parted good friends. Some one moved that five thousand dollars be given Josh, and as I was coming East they appointed me treasurer and I promised to hand it over. There it is."

2010年10月23日 星期六

複雜之管理 (David & Sarah Kerridge 小部分)

複雜之管理

本文作者為David & Sarah Kerridge,它曾刊登於《戴明國際交流暨評論月刊》,第一卷第六期,2001。下文為修正稿。感謝作者慷慨同意收入本書。

戴明哲學能告訴我們:如何來化解複雜 (complexity)。事情愈簡單,就愈容易管理 假設其它條件相等的話。將複雜化解掉的好處和效果會相當大,可惜,這些好處通常會是無形的。


按下看大圖
漫畫來源: Ted Goff




機械上的複雜

A. 元件多

此種複雜最容易理解。有些系統由許多元件組成,例如電腦的晶片上有許多線路,它們都要完全無問題,系統才不會失靈。在元件的可靠性是一定的情形下,元件數愈多,系統的可靠性就愈低。這道理可以用最簡單的概率模式來了解。譬如每一元件的失效率是萬分之二,而系統中有1000個元件,那麼系統失效的概率就有18 %,即失效的概率出奇地高或極不可靠。[1]

此種複雜在實際上讓系統可靠性變成如此糟,雖然大部份的人對此並不知道。不過,起碼就理論而言,此種複雜很簡單。雖然我們要了解這道理,需要知道一點概率運算規則才行,不過大家在初等統計課上都學過它。

我們一旦認清了問題之後,就可藉由戴明哲學來指引我們,戴明哲學並能鼓舞我們發揮創造性思想,這就有助於抑減此種複雜。幸虧人們的持續改善上的努力,使得元件變得極可靠,所以這類複雜,並不致造成很多問題。事實上,我們通常為了安全起見,寧可使用較複雜的機械來減低因人為因素所造成的複雜上的問題,因為它們一旦出事的話,後果極堪虞。

B. 設計上的複雜

許多系統極為複雜,所以其設計上難免會出差錯。這時,儘管每一元件都能運作無誤,我們也無法預測該整體系統的行為。之所以會有此等問題,原因出在元件間的連接上,而不出在元件數目上。所以我們必須先建立該系統的原型,並且完整地加以檢測。

由於此種檢測常常做得不夠徹底,所以戴明在《轉危為安》中,把「不當的原型測試」來作為一種「障礙」。不過,如果該系統必得能針對種種不同投入的組合,都會有「正確的」回應的話,我們常常會淪為無法以「窮舉法」方式來測試它。電子晶片的電子回路極為複雜,而完整的電腦系統更是如此,難怪《泰晤士報》的頭版大標題會是:既定安全程序無法找出電腦科技上的災難性差錯。

如果投入的數目不多,就很容易檢驗、測試每一投入的組合,觀看它是否能產出我們希望的結果。不過,如果其數目極多,這種直接測試方式就會很耗時:假設每秒可測試一百萬組合,現有50個投入,那麼要完整網羅所有可能的組合來測試,也要花上356年呢!這可以說明為什麼電腦的軟體很少完全測試過,所以偶而會有因不尋常的投入組合而造成災難。

英特爾在初次發行其Pentium微處理機時,就出過差錯。這也難怪,畢竟它極為複雜,加上它有很多特殊功能。有的半導體公司採取相反的方法,即在每一晶片上放置較少、較簡單的功能,即所謂的RISC晶片。這方式製造起來較容易,也更容易測試。

在《新經濟學:產官學都適用》中,有些特定的建議教我們如何去應付複雜的設計[2]。雖然書中該例為汽車引擎的開發,不過,它的道理可應用到極廣的範圍:愈早在開發階段多用心,這樣遠比「急著先作,後來再改正」方式要好得多。這樣,既可減少錯誤數,又可降低總生產成本和加速產品上市。



[1] 譯按:讀者可想像你的極複雜的筆記型電腦,大約有500-1000個元組件。

[2] 譯按:請參考台北的中譯本《戴明的新經濟觀》,pp. 151-56

2010年10月20日 星期三

Models for growth

2010年10月20日 06:35 AM

经济增长模型
Models for growth




Is the world like Play-Doh or like Lego? That might seem like an odd question for an economist, but there were some provocative characters present at a recent “Growth Week” at the London School of Economics, organised by a new joint venture between Oxford, LSE and the Department for International Development.

世界更像培乐多(Play-Doh)泥胶还是更像乐高(Lego)积木?经济学家问出 这个问题可能有些奇怪。最近在伦敦政治经济学院(LSE)举行的“增长周”(Growth Week)活动中,有几位颇具争议性的人物参加。这次活动是由牛津大学(Oxford)、伦敦政治经济学院和英国国际发展部(Department for International Development)共同组织的。

Growth Week assembled policymakers from developing countries alongside development economists, and my attention was grabbed by Paul Romer, Ricardo Hausmann and John Sutton, all three of them, in different ways, economic iconoclasts.

在“增长周”中,来自发展中国家的政策制定者与发展经济学家齐聚一堂,而我的注意力却 集中在保罗•罗默(Paul Romer)、里卡多•豪斯曼(Ricardo Hausmann)和约翰•萨顿(John Sutton)身上。这三人都以自己的方式成为了经济学的离经叛道者。

Romer created endogenous growth theory – thus memorably giving Michael Heseltine the chance to remark that the idea “wasn’t Brown’s – it was Balls!” He quit academia, founded a successful online education company, and now travels the world campaigning for the foundation of “charter cities”, modern versions of Hong Kong. More of him in a future column.

罗默提出了内生增长理论,由此也给了迈克尔•赫塞尔廷(Michael Heseltine)机会嘲讽这种观点“不是布朗的,而是(鲍尔斯的)胡扯!”(wasn’t Brown’s – it was Balls!译者注:鲍尔斯曾为英国前首相布朗提出该理论,而Balls在口语里有胡扯之意,此处为双关)罗默退出学术界后成立了一家成功的在线教育公 司,现在则穿梭在世界各国宣扬建立“特许城市”(charter city),即现代版的香港。我将来在专栏中还会对他作更多介绍。

It was Hausmann – once a Venezuelan minister, now a professor at Harvard – who was asking about Play-Doh and Lego. Hausmann, in joint work with the physicist Cesar Hidalgo (I’ve written about their work before), has been trying to puzzle out the relationship between the sophistication of a country’s economy and the kinds of products it makes.

提出“像培乐多还是像乐高”问题的是豪斯曼,他曾在委内瑞拉担任部长,现在是哈佛(Harvard)教授。豪斯曼与物理学家塞萨尔•伊达尔戈(Cesar Hidalgo)(此前我已经有过介绍)合作,试图解开一国经济复杂性与该国所生产产品之间关系的谜团。

Economists have tended to view the economy as a Play-Doh affair: products are produced by a few undifferentiated inputs of “stuff”, which we call capital and labour. More sophisticated accounts might introduce land, education (“human capital”) and institutions (“social capital”). Even then, that’s just five types of stuff, and economic growth just means getting more stuff and using it more efficiently.

经济学家倾向于把经济看成是培乐多泥胶:不加区分地输入少许几种的“东西”就能生产出 产品——我们称这些东西为资本和劳动。更复杂的诠释可能会引入土地、教育(“人力资本”)和制度(“社会资本”)等概念。即便如此,也只有五样东西,而经 济增长也只意味着获取更多东西、并更有效地加以利用。

Hausmann argues, convincingly, that this isn’t a helpful way to think about the capabilities needed to produce a sophisticated product or service. Amazon, for instance, offers a service that requires widespread access to the internet, credit cards, physical addresses and a trustworthy post office. An orchid business would require the right kind of land, water and electricity, along with appropriate customs regulations to allow shipping. Some countries might have the preconditions to allow internet shopping; others might be fertile territory for orchid production. What’s needed is not “more human capital” but some rather specific, and sometimes subtle, requirements: different Lego bricks, not lumps of Play-Doh.

豪斯曼令人信服地辩称,这种观点无助于理解生产复杂产品或提供复杂服务所需的能力。例 如,亚马逊(Amazon)提供的服务需要普及互联网接入、信用卡、真实地址和可靠的邮政系统。经营兰花的企业则需要合适的土壤、水和电,还需要相应的海 关法规允许其运货。一些国家可能具备网络购物所需的前提条件,另一些国家可能具备种植兰花所需的肥沃土壤。这种能力所需的不是“更多人力资本”,而是某些 具体而细微的必备条件:就像是形状不同的乐高积木,而非一大团培乐多泥胶。

Hausmann’s Lego analogy is probably too optimistic. In fact, these elusive economic capabilities are probably more like the components of your computer: the keyboard, mouse, screen, internet connection, processor. You can assemble them in various ways, but you don’t have to remove many components before your computer is far less useful, and some components, such as the processor, are indispensable. Hausmann worries about the fact that until a country has a critical mass of capabilities, there’s little point in acquiring more. There is no point in going to the trouble of getting a keyboard for your computer if you have no software.

豪斯曼的“乐高积木”比喻可能把问题考虑得过于简单。实际上,这些难以理解的经济能力 可能更像电脑配件:键盘、鼠标、显示屏、网络连接、处理器。你能以不同的方式组装,但只消取下少许几个配件,你电脑的功能就会大打折扣。而且,一些配件是 不可或缺的,例如处理器。豪斯曼担忧的是这样一个事实:如果一个国家尚未具备某些关键的能力,获得再多其他能力也没有帮助。如果电脑没有软件,装上键盘也 没有用处。

The LSE’s John Sutton has been trying to figure out how companies acquire the capabilities that they have. His research reveals that in Ethiopia, for instance, many of the key manufacturing companies start not as small manufacturers but as traders. They have the know-how to run an organisation of 50 people and real expertise about the market. One unfortunate matchbox manufacturer was undercut by Chinese imports at one-fifth of the price, including shipping. A wilier company with a background in trading went into steel wire because it understood the Chinese supply chain and knew how to compete.

伦敦政治经济学院的约翰•萨顿一直在试图理解企业是如何获得现有能力的。举例来说,他 的研究显示,在埃塞俄比亚,许多关键的制造企业并不是从小型制造企业发展而来的,而是从干贸易公司起家。它们懂得如何去管理一家拥有50名员工的企业,还 对市场有着切实的专业认识。一家走背字的火柴盒制造商受到从中国进口火柴盒的严重冲击,中国火柴盒包括运费也仅有其价格的五分之一。另一家有着贸易背景的 公司则更加聪明地投身钢丝业务,因为它了解中国的供应链、懂得如何竞争。

Sutton and Hausmann have very different research strategies, but a shared question: if “capabilities” are the Lego bricks of economic growth, where do they come from and how can we make more?

萨顿和豪斯曼的研究策略虽有很大差异,但提出的问题却是相同的:如果“能力”是经济增长的乐高积木,那么它们从何而来、怎样才能得到更多?


译者/王柯伦

2010年10月19日 星期二

The Deming Cup 2010

The W. Edwards Deming Center for Quality, Productivity and Competitiveness Awards Samuel Palmisano, President, Chairman and CEO of the IBM Corporation, The Deming Cup

Posted In: Information Tech

By IBM

Tuesday, October 19, 2010


New York - 19 Oct 2010: Columbia Business School’s W. Edwards Deming Center for Quality, Productivity and Competitiveness (Deming Center) announces today the winner of the inaugural Deming Cup. The Deming Cup grew from Columbia Business School’s drive to highlight the achievements of business practitioners who adhere to and promote excellence in operations – the Deming Center’s area of focus.

This award will be given annually to an individual who has made outstanding contributions in the area of operations who has established a culture of continuous improvement within their respective organization. The inaugural recipient, Samuel Palmisano, Chairman, President and CEO of IBM Corporation, received the award for his ability to drive IBM to reach new levels of operational excellence and for his role in creating and leading IBM’s Global Services business unit. He will receive the award at a dinner at Columbia University on October 18, 2010.

The Deming Cup’s nomination criteria featured eight areas of accomplishment. For example, the nominee was required to be a global leader who had applied and demonstrated the Deming principles. He or she must also have fostered an environment where operational excellence has made a decisive impact on the competitive position of the firm. Mr. Palmisano won the Deming Cup for his ability to seek innovative approaches that enhanced IBM’s ability to evolve in a rapidly changing global business environment, for building one of the world’s largest and most diversified IT services organization in the industry, IBM’s Global Services, and for realigning the company for international growth coming out of the global recession.

“On behalf of IBMers around the world, I am deeply honored to receive the inaugural Deming Cup, which embodies the Deming Center’s pioneering effort to understand and advance operational excellence in a globally integrating world,” said Mr. Palmisano. “We believe this agenda is strongly aligned with IBM’s work to build a smarter planet -- helping businesses and institutions seize new capabilities to transform their operations, relationships and business models – and practicing the same innovation within IBM itself.”

Nelson Fraiman, Director, W. Edwards Deming Center, and Professor of Professional Practice, Decision, Risk, and Operations at Columbia Business School commented on the importance of the award, “The Deming Center focuses on developing new insights in all areas of operational excellence. The center endeavors to bridge the gap between industry practices and academic discovery. The Deming Cup allows the Deming Center to recognize best practices in the area of operations and informs academics and executives about individual accomplishments in the field.”

Janet L. Robinson, President and CEO, The New York Times Company, and a member of the Deming Cup’s judging committee, said, “The operational excellence of IBM under Samuel Palmisano’s leadership underscores the mission and purpose of the Deming Cup, which recognizes several esteemed business attributes. We congratulate Sam on being the first recipient of this prestigious honor.”

The Deming Cup’s judging committee was led by co-chairs Rob Amen, Executive-in-Residence, Columbia Business School and Former CEO of International Flavors and Fragrances, and Paul O’Neill, Former Secretary of the U.S. Treasury and Former Director, Chairman of Alcoa. The committee received nominations through a variety of channels – such as a full page ad in The New York Times, solicitations sent to the CEOs of the top 250 companies in the US, Europe, Latin America and Asia, business and engineering school faculty around the world and Columbia Business School’s alumni and Board of Overseers committee. Nominations were received from June 29 through July 27, 2010. A working group of the Judging Committee then screened the nominations to narrow the field to 4 finalists. Afterwards, the entire Judging Committee voted for a winner and runner-up, in order to determine who should receive the prize.

About Columbia Business School

Led by Dean R. Glenn Hubbard, the Russell L. Carson Professor of Finance and Economics, Columbia Business School is at the forefront of management education for a rapidly changing world. The School’s cutting-edge curriculum bridges academic theory and practice, equipping students with an entrepreneurial mindset to recognize and capture opportunity in a competitive business environment. Beyond academic rigor and teaching excellence, the School offers programs that are designed to give students practical experience making decisions in real-world environments. The School offers MBA and Executive MBA (EMBA) degrees, as well as non-degree Executive Education programs. For more information, visit www.gsb.columbia.edu.

About IBM

For more information about IBM visit: http://www.ibm.com

2010年10月12日 星期二

感言 敢言 (3)

1012
HP to increase its R&D proportion in Taiwan DIGITIMES [Tuesday 12 October 2010]



With Hewlett-Packard (HP) Taiwan officially moving into its new office in Nangang, Taipei on October 11, an executive of the company pointed out that although most of the company's research and development will remain in the US, the company will start shifting some R&D to Taiwan.The executives used an example and pointed out that HP may have 85% of its products developed outside of Taiwan with only 15% in Taiwan, but in the future, the proportion outside of Taiwan may drop to only 60% with Taiwan's portion to increase to 40%.Since HP has a lot of partners in Taiwan, releasing more R&D resources to its Taiwan base should help strengthen the communications between HP and its partners, as problems such as the time difference between Taiwan and the US, will be eliminated.

----922
太太問起 我找資料 是 Bernard Madoff
http://www.answers.com/topic/bernard-madoff

The company need not make payments to some former Bernard Madoff clients who said their homeowner insurance policies entitled them to coverage for alleged losses, a judge ruled, Reuters reported. Go to Article from Reuters»

比較有意思的是 這世紀最大的騙局 在案發前幾年 早就有人指出
其給投資者的報酬率是神話
是特殊因
不可能的
奈何世人和制度都腐爛了ㄅ

系統與變異: 2010年戴明博士紀念研習會/ 東海的人生饗宴 晚宴



鍾執行長 您好:

來函敬知悉,演講事宜彙整如下:

1.   期:99/10/16()

點:本校第二教學區管理學院三樓M367 (如附件)

2. 行程規劃:

10:00 與會貴賓聚會 (鍾執行長及沈金標、蘇錦坤、Daniel Wang)

地點:本班M362聯誼室或M365 (本校第二教學區管理學院三樓)

12:30-13:50 本校IBA餐廳餐敘

參加對象:來賓4-5EMBA師生6

14:00-15:30 專題演講

15:30-16:00 座 談 (EMBA學生與講者,意見交流及對談)

3. 報備通行:王金秋 總經理 車號:0508-SS

4. 參與贈書活動:

與會師生就以下四點於會前繳交一張A4書面且將檔案mailEMBA系辦者,當天蒞臨將獲贈一本專書。

Q1. 一小段自我介紹

Q2. 這一年讀過的一本書或論文 的要旨 為什麼讓他/她受益

Q3. 這一年碰過的一個人或一件事 讓他們印象深刻

Q4. 提問

5. 會場提供購買他書服務:其所得書款將全數捐贈本校(300/)。

6. 聯絡人:EMBA助理 王凌莉小姐 0953-022520

以上,如有任何問題,惠請函知。

謝謝



*****-
系統與變異: 2010年戴明博士紀念研習會

主旨 發揚戴明博士的遺澤:轉型的新經濟學與 "品質生產力和競爭力"

活動 2009年戴明博士紀念研討會

日期 : 10月16日(周六)

地點

費用:每人3000元整 (包括中餐和點心與2010 新書:《 系統與變異: 淵博知識與理想設計法)》)


地點::台中市東海大學管理學院三樓EMBA

報名請洽02-23650127) / 賜教電郵: hcsimonl@gmail.com (鍾漢清)


議程:

時間 課程
09:30 – 0950 報到
10:00 – 10:10 歡迎與 2010年戴明博士紀念研習會之目的
10:10 – 10:30
轉型看系統思考與變異思考 鍾漢清
10:30 – 10:40 休息
10:40 – 1200 座談會簡介 本年新書中的螺絲業和其應用 郭展銓


13:30 - 14:00 簡介 連接器產業 徐歷昌

14:00-16:00 專題演講 如何做中學戴明的淵博知識系統--以行銷學和策略學等為例鍾漢清

15:10 – 16:40 參觀 工廠 (林先生)
16:40 – 17:30 校園欣賞
18: 00 晚餐

東海的人生饗宴 -by Ken Su


P1110352


左至右 王秋金 鍾漢清 熊維強


P1110367

晚宴上,前排 左至右 鍾漢清 許文雄/許達然 陳永松
後排 左至右 蘇錦坤 沈金標 王秋金 王本正

*****

講師簡介
鍾漢清先生: 華人戴明學院負責人 (專業品質與生產力顧問)郭展銓先生:春銘股份有限公司/TAF 資深評審員

2010年10月11日 星期一

2010诺贝尔经济学奖由三位学者共享

今年诺贝尔经济学奖由三位学者共享
Labour market researchers wins Nobel Prize




As the world struggles to sustain a fragile economic recovery, the Nobel Prize for economics was awarded on Monday to three researchers whose work explains how market frictions can hinder the smooth functioning of an economy and its ability to adjust to shocks.

在世界艰难维持脆弱的经济复苏之际,诺贝尔经济学奖昨日被授予三名学术研究者。他们的 研究解释了,市场摩擦会如何影响经济的平稳运行及其在冲击之下做出调整的能力。

Their work, which shows how markets can sometimes lead to inefficient outcomes, has influenced economists’ understanding of unemployment.

他们的研究影响了经济学家对失业的理解。研究表明,市场有时会产生效率低下的结局。

One of the laureates, Peter Diamond, is a nominee for the board of the Federal Reserve. His original nomination by President Barack Obama in April was endorsed by the Senate’s banking committee but the full Senate failed to keep the nomination alive over the summer recess.

获奖者之一——彼得•戴蒙德(Peter Diamond)是美联储(Fed)理事职位提名人。总统巴拉克•奥巴马(Barack Obama)4月份对他的最初提名,得到了参议院银行业委员会的同意,但未等到夏季休会期结束,就被整个参议院退回了白宫。

Richard Shelby, Republican senator from Alabama and ranking member of the Senate banking committee, questioned Mr Diamond’s monetary policy qualifications during confirmation hearings in July. While Mr Shelby said Mr Diamond was “a skilled economist”, he added that “I do not believe that the current environment of uncertainty would benefit from monetary policy decisions made by board members who are learning on the job”.

理查德•谢尔比(Richard Shelby)是来自亚拉巴马的共和党议员、参议院银行业委员会高级委员。在7月份提名确认听证会期间,他对戴蒙德的货币政策资格提出了质疑。尽管谢尔比 称戴蒙德是“一位有技能的经济学家”,但他补充表示,“我不认为,当前这种充满不确定性的环境,将会受益于边干边学的理事会成员的货币政策决定。”

The economics profession’s greatest accolade was bestowed on Mr Diamond and his fellow laureates, Dale Mortensen and Christopher Pissarides, for their fundamental contributions to understanding how supply and demand are matched when there are transactions or search costs involved.

与戴蒙德同时获得这份经济学界最大荣誉的,还有戴尔•莫滕森(Dale Mortensen)与克里斯托弗•皮萨里季斯(Christopher Pissarides)。三人获奖原因是,他们对理解下列问题做出了根本贡献,即在涉及交易或搜寻成本的情况下,供求是怎样得到匹配的。

Their “search and matching” theories show that it is not enough to have buyers and sellers who can in principle agree on a price; those buyers and sellers must also find each other and decide to enter into a transaction rather than hold out for a better match.

他们的“搜寻和匹配”理论表明,光有在理论上能够达成交易的买家与卖家还不够;这些买 家与卖家还必须找得到对方,并决定达成一项交易,而不是继续寻找,希望发现更好的匹配对象。

In some settings, such as public financial trading platforms, buyers and sellers may be matched instantaneously. But in many other markets, transactions happen only after a search process that can be costly and time-consuming.

在某些背景下——比如公共金融交易平台,买家与卖家可能会即刻达成交易。但在许多其它 市场,只有在经历一番耗时又代价高昂的搜寻后,交易才会发生。

The laureates’ research has shown that this makes possible market outcomes in which supply and demand are matched inefficiently or not at all. In such cases, government intervention may improve on what the market alone achieves.

三位获奖者的研究表明,这可能会导致供求出现无效率匹配或根本无法匹配的市场结局。在 这些情况下,政府干预可能会提高市场的效率。


译者/何黎



Peter A. Diamond
Dale T. Mortensen
Christopher A. Pissarides
Peter A. DiamondDale T. MortensenChristopher A. Pissarides


诺奖得主:单身者应获“补贴”
The theory: Model of search and matching offers help for lovelorn singletons



The principle of voluntary pairing under competitive conditions” is not the most romantic way of explaining why some get married and others remain single.

对于为何有些人结了婚、有些人却保持单身的问题,“竞争条件下的自愿配对原则”也许并不是最为浪漫的一种解释。

But finding a life partner – or “the mating game”, for those inclined to game-theory – is an important application of the theory of search and matching. On Monday, its founders were rewarded for their efforts with the Nobel Prize in economic science.

但寻找人生伴侣——对那些倾向于博弈论的人来说,也叫做“配对博弈”——正是“搜寻与匹配”理论的一个重要应用。本周一,该理论创始人荣膺诺贝尔经济学奖。

Search theories added realism to earlier theories of matching. As Dale Mortensen, one of the laureates, wrote in a 1988 paper: “It takes time to meet a partner and to learn the uncertain value of any partnership.”

“搜寻理论”向早些时候的“匹配理论”注入了现实主义成分。正如获奖者之一戴尔•莫滕森(Dale Mortensen)在1988年的一篇论文中所言:“人们结识一个伴侣,并了解这一伴侣关系所包含的不确定的价值,需要花费时间。”

Small consolation to a teenager who has fallen out of love for the first time. But the fickleness of the heart has at least been properly incorporated into economic models by this year’s Nobel laureates. Indeed, the searching single may want to learn from their research. “A principal implication of the models,” Mr Mortensen wrote, “is that some acceptable matches form that will separate in the future even when the individuals are fully aware of the possibility.”

这对于初次失恋的少男少女来说,或许安慰不大。但人心的变化无常,至少被今年的诺贝尔 奖得主恰当地纳入了经济模型之中。事实上,仍在寻找伴侣的单身人士,或许希望从他们的研究中学到点什么。莫滕森写道:“这些模型的一个最重要的结论是,即 使个人充分意识到将来可能会分手,但仍然会结成一些可接受的匹配。”

So students of Mr Mortensen and his colleagues’ work will look for partners while acknowledging the possibility of divorce.

所以,莫滕森及其同事研究成果的学徒们尽管认识到了离婚的可能性,但仍将寻找伴侣。

But this is hardly a model of dissolute morals. In fact, one intriguing implication of some search models is that, far from playing hard to get, singles may settle too soon.

但这并非一个只关乎风流品行的模型。事实上,“搜寻模型”得出了一个有趣的结论:单身者可能会过于迅速地配对,而不是装出一副拒人千里之外的姿态。

When they stop searching they do not take into account that making themselves less available is a cost to all the other singles out there who may still be looking for a good match. In theory, there is a case for a subsidy: “a bribe paid in every period to remain single”, as Mr Mortensen put it.

当他们停止寻找时,他们没有想到,降低自己的可获得性,对于其他所有仍在寻找良伴的单身者来说,其实是一种成本。理论上,单身者有理由享受补贴——正如莫滕森所言:“就像在人生各个阶段向他们行贿,以便让他们保持单身。”

Policymakers will not hurry to introduce one. But the analogy with labour markets shows the power of the theory. There, the analogous subsidy already exists in the form of unemployment benefits.

政策制定者不会急于推出这样的补贴。但它与劳动力市场的相似性,彰显了该理论的威力。在劳动力市场上,类似的补贴已经以失业津贴的形式存在。


译者/何黎

福原義春《文化打造極致創意》

台灣的"國家認同危機日"過去之後
煙火之後
李登輝先生等開始輔選
蔡英文主席

能消遣自己的國歌 也是好事

Top 10 Worst National-Anthem Renditions

There will be 2,430 chances this baseball season for aspiring singers to butcher "The Star-Spangled Banner." Here are 10 of history's worst national-anthem performances.



******
"消基會和標檢局昨天公布抽驗市售十二種合板,發 現一款普通合板甲醛釋出量超標八倍,
民眾若長期暴露在含有甲醛的空間中,恐有致癌風險。 消基會和 標檢局抽檢高雄地區DIY賣場與木材行等通路,所販售的不同廠牌合板樣品,其中有一件普通合板甲醛釋出量不符合國家標準且標示 ..."我看到這則新聞 卻 想起江醫師的《江醫師魚舖 子》零污染無毒農漁業
那是許多年前的事
最近看一段他在TVBS的"看板人物"接受的訪問
知道他也開始查病患家中的裝潢等之毒

這 沒什麼
怪醫豪斯 (House) 中的
必備之檢查啦

江醫師


*****日本的一些學術傳統與實務

福原義春《文化打造極致 創意》


ぼくの複線人生


日本科學管理/管理科學的引進族譜
他大學時學過統計 不過進資生堂統計"獎金制"被要求要寫"平均數" 嘆學校的不務實
後來自學官感檢驗 方式
多變量統計分析--調查

讀此書還可知道 他當社長第一位去探望的是昔日Deming講學時之翻譯西榮三郎
披荊斬棘:鍛鍊自己的勇氣和自信/西崛?榮三郎著.--初版.--台北縣:錦繡, 民83[1994]
又 可知 「KJ法」の 川喜田二郎さん死去
起初 此法稱為 Party 法 ....

資生堂贏得法國的 竟然是20世紀前幾十年他們設計的海報
法 國人說他們的 是用浮世繪等二維方式表現歐洲的"新藝術"

日本在1930年代小學交"拼貼畫"--所以日本書封面 如上

我 們可知中國版為 我的多軌人生
 アジア最大の化粧品メーカー資生堂の名誉会長・福原義春氏の半生記『ぼくの複線人生』がこのほ

他家傳的養蘭花讓他交許多國際 友人.....

此書將植物打 成"職務"| 台灣商務印書館之校對能力聲譽.......

2010年10月7日 星期四

經驗的多義

經驗的多義


Experiences ( London : Oxford U.P., 1967) 這本書是 Toynbee, Arnold Joseph, 1889-1975 80大壽的回憶錄系列第二本



經驗曲效應

本文所謂的「經驗」,意指累積的生產量。譬如某公司生產某型引擎引擎各有其序號,則該公司在當時的經驗,即為正在製造的引擎序號。再 強調一次:

經驗=累積生產量

由上述定義,我們將上節的經驗曲 線效應重述如後:

「每單位產品的平均總成本,若用定值的錢幣衡量,則當驗倍增時,即遞減一定的百分比。」



... the life story of Peter Drucker, an international management consultant and self-described “social ecologist.” In his story, one can discover his extraordinary experiences and repertoire. Drucker first worked as an apprentice at an established cotton trading company, then as a journalist. Coming to London from Germany, he worked for an insurance company, then as the chief economist at a private bank. He got married in 1934 and he, along with his wife, permanently relocated to the United States, where he became a university professor as well as a freelance writer and business consultant. So far it looks like there is no “wide” experience. Yet there is a consensus that Drucker was the authority of the authorities. How is this possible, then?

Contrary to popular belief that says universities are the places of teaching and training, great men become that through “wide” experience. Drucker, whose father was an aristocrat and bureaucrat, grew up in a Vienna house where intellectuals, high government officials and scientists would meet to discuss new ideas every Sunday. All these gatherings turned out to be a kind of medicine class, math class or music class. During his time in Germany, Drucker would attend all artistic activities and spend a considerable amount of time in libraries trying to read as much as possible. From the editor-in-chief of the newspaper he worked for, he learned how to study and conduct research. Being a professor at a university in the US, he worked with the country’s top intellectuals. His career as a business theorist took off in 1942, when his initial writings on politics and society won him access to the internal workings of General Motors (GM). In 1943, Donaldson Brown -- the mastermind behind the administrative controls at GM -- invited him to conduct what might be called a “political audit”: a two-year, social-scientific analysis of the corporation. Drucker attended every board meeting, interviewed employees and analyzed production and decision-making processes.

Inside Drucker’s story, the knowledge gained along with various experiences is obvious...


2010年10月4日 星期一

1963 報紙及明信片

【?林秀淑】

 

民國52年時,我是就讀省立北商的高一學生,下學期開學沒多久,老師要徵 召珠算已是二級以上的同學,全班只有我一個入選,因我在初級職校時已補習練過珠算、心算,而且考試及格了。  學校老師給我的上班地點是:台北市中華路一段49號「徵信新聞報社」, 如今這棟建築物已改名為時報大樓,報紙也改名大家所熟悉的「中國時報」。  我是在省立北商下課後大約6點到9點半去工作,工作內容以用人工統計明信片上所寫的當時電影明星名字,每天要將所統計的各個明星得票數 與累計數比較高下,並且公佈在徵信新聞報上。當年最有名的明星大約是凌波、樂蒂、李麗華、關山、張美瑤、柯俊雄……等,影迷們都爭相去買報紙及明信片,將 自己最喜愛的影星名字寫在明信片內寄到徵信新聞報社來,每天每人都要統計數千張的明信片。  我每天忙碌快樂地工作,二個月工作結束後,拿了第一次上班打工薪水約數千元,是當年很高的價碼,我媽媽好高興,我也好高興!拿到薪水後, 我媽媽立刻帶我去做了一件冬天穿的黑色尼子大外套及一件黑色短型的新式西裝外套。  這些事已隔近50年了,但一看到中國60年,使我即刻想到當時的各種快樂情景,這些人生中的第一次,真是畢生難忘!

模式與故事--領導與組織學習; 知識與心理 2011



Microsoft has struggled for the past two years in the mobile-phone market. But CEO Steve Ballmer says his company finally has a compelling story.



2010/9/6

關於我的年度出書 我希望能出十本 直到我65歲 "退休"

2011的 如果有可能 希望在6月15日出版
紀念 SIMON 過世十周年
主題設為
模式與故事--領導與組織學習: 知識與心理


NTU 借用的
The Ambiguities of Experience
啟示很大
所以 請求Justing幫忙

多年前我寄給您一本我1984年寫的生產管理
下次見面時再跟你借回
因為我打算將其中一章"經驗曲線策略"重刊
不知道將它弄成WORD檔多花時間 或你可幫忙

謝謝JUSTING

----
思考問題
此經驗與體驗經濟

Mindful Leadership: When East Meets West

Forum open for comment0 CommentsPost a comment

Executive Summary:

Harvard Business School professor William George is fusing Western understanding about leadership with Eastern wisdom about the mind to develop leaders who are self-aware and self-compassionate. An interview about his recent Mindful Leadership conference taught with a Buddhist meditation master. Key concepts include:

  • People who are mindful—fully present and aware—can become more effective leaders.
  • Leaders with low emotional intelligence often lack self-awareness and self-compassion, which can lead to a lack of self-regulation.
  • Authenticity is developed by becoming more self-aware and having compassion for oneself.
  • Group support provides nonjudgmental feedback in order to recognize blind spots, accept shortcomings, and gain confidence.

About Faculty in this Article:

HBS Faculty Member William W. George

Bill George is a Professor of Management Practice, Henry B. Arthur Fellow of Ethics, at Harvard Business School.

Asian beliefs, philosophies, and practices are influencing everything from the way we treat the ill to how we make cars. Now, a Harvard Business School professor is looking to the East as a model for developing strong business leaders.

William George, an expert on leadership development, recently teamed with Tibetan Buddhist meditation master Yongey Mingyur Rinpoche to present a conference on "mindful leadership," a secular process to explore the roles of self-awareness and self-compassion in developing strong and effective leaders.

"To our knowledge, this is the first time that a Buddhist Rinpoche and a leadership professor have joined forces to explore this subject and see how Eastern teaching can inform our Western thinking about leadership and vice versa," George says. You can read George's summary of the Mindful Leadership conference on his Web site.

For George, leaders who don't develop self-awareness are subject to becoming seduced by external rewards, such as power, money, and recognition. They also have difficulty acknowledging mistakes, an Achilles' heel that has crippled a number of CEOs who have appeared in the news recently.

We have set up a forum for readers to give their own ideas on this concept and to ask Professor George questions.

Sean Silverthorne: Tell us about the Mindful Leadership conference. What were the goals?

Bill George: The Mindful Leadership conference, which was held in Minneapolis August 13-14, 2010, brought together 400 participants in an exploration of how mindfulness can contribute to sustaining effective leadership. The seminar was co-led by Yongey Mingyur Rinpoche, a leading Buddhist meditation master, and myself.

Its goal was to bring together Western understanding about leadership and Eastern wisdom about the mind, developed from practices that have been used for thousands of years, to contribute to the self-awareness and self-compassion of leaders.

Q: What is mindful leadership, and what are its benefits?

A: Mindfulness is a state of being fully present, aware of oneself and other people, and sensitive to one's reactions to stressful situations. Leaders who are mindful tend to be more effective in understanding and relating to others, and motivating them toward shared goals. Hence, they become more effective in leadership roles.

Q: How does one become mindfully aware?

A: I would not claim to be an expert in this area. Our Mindful Leadership seminar focused on the practice of meditation as one of those ways, with a variety of meditation techniques taught by Rinpoche. This was strictly a secular teaching, not a Buddhist one. In my experience I have observed people become more mindful through prayer, introspective discussions, therapy, and the use of reflective techniques and exercises.

Q: You have said that few leaders lose their jobs because of lack of intelligence, but many do so because of lack of emotional intelligence. Can you talk about this a little more and give some examples.

A: Leaders with low emotional intelligence (EQ) often lack self-awareness and self-compassion, which can lead to a lack of self-regulation. This also makes it very difficult for them to feel compassion and empathy for others. Thus, they struggle to establish sustainable, authentic relationships.

Leaders who do not take time for introspection and reflection may be vulnerable to being seduced by external rewards, such as power, money, and recognition. Or they may feel a need to appear so perfect to others that they cannot admit vulnerabilities and acknowledge mistakes. Some of the recent difficulties of Hewlett-Packard, British Petroleum, CEOs of failed Wall Street firms, and dozens of leaders who failed in the post-Enron era are examples of this.

Q: The two essential aspects of effective leaders, you explain, are self-awareness and self-compassion.

A: An essential aspect of effective leaders is authenticity; that is, being genuine and true to one's beliefs, values, and principles that make up what we call someone's True North.

Authenticity is developed by becoming more self-aware and having compassion for oneself, without which it is very difficult to feel genuine compassion for others. Self-awareness starts with understanding one's life story and the impact of one's crucibles, and reflecting on how these contribute to motivations and behaviors. As people come to accept the less-favored parts of themselves that they do not like or have rejected, as well as learning from failures and negative experiences, they gain compassion for themselves and authenticity in relating to the world around them.

Q: How does the work you are doing in this area align with your concept of "True North"?

A: In our work on True North and in teaching authentic leadership development to students and seasoned leaders, we have learned that the greatest challenge to following one's True North comes when the pressures and seductions are intense. That is when it is most crucial to be self-aware.

This of course is not a new idea. Self-awareness is central to Daniel Goleman's emotional intelligence. It is relatively rare to find people who are fully self-aware. Mindfulness is a logical step in this process of gaining self-awareness that should be combined with experiences in leading through challenging situations and gaining awareness through feedback and group support.

Q: I know you are a strong believer in group support in the development of leaders. Can you talk a bit about how group support differs from mentorship, for example?

A: Mentorship is a one-to-one process with someone who has greater experience and is willing to share from that experience. Group support as practiced in True North Groups consists of a small number of peers (usually five to eight) willing to share themselves and their lives and support each other through both good and difficult times. A key element of these groups is learning to give and receive nonjudgmental feedback in order to recognize blind spots, accept shortcomings, and gain the confidence to address great challenges in their lives.

Q: Do you think business schools should be paying more attention to this subject?

A: Any business school committed to developing leaders needs to offer courses and other experiential opportunities that enable students to develop greater awareness of themselves, their motivations, and their strengths and shortcomings.

This process is most effective when real-world experiences can be reflected upon to deepen self-understanding in a supportive and trusting environment. This is the central tenet of the Authentic Leadership Development (ALD) course at Harvard Business School, which will soon to be offered to leaders as part of the School's Executive Education offerings.

Q: If HBS Working Knowledge readers want to learn more about mindful leadership, which resources would you recommend?

A: Current literature on this subject is limited because the ideas are still in the early stages of development. I highly recommend Jon Kabat-Zinn's book Wherever You Go, There You Are and his CD Guided Mindfulness Meditation, and Yongey Mingyur Rinpoche's books The Joy of LivingJoyful Wisdom. In the ALD course at HBS, we use my book True North and its companion workbook, Finding Your True North: A Personal Guide. and

Q: What are you working on next?

A: I am working on a book on peer support groups with Doug Baker that is tentatively titled "True North Groups: The Vital Link." These groups are based on the Leadership Development Groups we use at HBS and the groups Doug and I have participated in for more than 25 years. Many of the ideas we explored in the Mindful Leadership conference will be covered this book.

About the author

Sean Silverthorne is editor-in-chief of HBS Working Knowledge.

What Experience Would You Like with That?

How a new view of consumers changed the way we think about products, companies, and economies.

Greetings from Williamsburg, Va., an outpost on the new frontier called the experience economy. Well, maybe not so new. John D. Rockefeller Jr., the only son of Senior, who was, of course, the founder of Standard Oil and an iconic figure in the rise of the unfettered industrial economy, began buying up this sleepy Tidewater town in the 1920s. Junior’s vision: Create a living museum that would protect the heritage of the United States and transport everyone who paid the price of admission back to the revolutionary 1770s to experience colonial life, right down to the horse manure.

Colonial Williamsburg, the restored capital of England’s Virginia colony, has attracted tens of millions of visitors since then, including long-reigning Queen Elizabeth II, who visited her ancestral fiefdom first in 1957 and again, 50 years later, in 2007. It also spawned an entirely new local economy based on feeding, lodging, and entertaining all those visitors and providing housing and services for people who found jobs there, as well as for former tourists who decided, as I did, that it would be a nice place to live. The entire greater Williamsburg area is a testament to the transformative power of a compelling customer experience.

Experience Unbound

No one connected what was going on in Williamsburg to a new kind of economy until 1998, when an advance excerpt from a groundbreaking book by B. Joseph Pine II and James H. Gilmore, The Experience Economy: Work Is Theatre and Every Business a Stage, appeared in the Harvard Business Review. The authors called attention to the fact that certain highly successful businesses, such as the Walt Disney Company’s theme parks, REI’s outdoor stores, and Chuck E. Cheese’s pizza restaurants, were delivering something more than products and services. They were delivering engaging and memorable experiences, which attracted droves of customers.

Before Pine and Gilmore, and a few other experience pioneers whom we will soon discuss, the delivery of superlative experiences was mainly seen as something that a service company did, and it was usually called “service excellence” or “service quality” (think Nordstrom or Southwest Airlines). But Pine and Gilmore effectively decoupled the experience from the service, and thus illuminated the fact that the creation of customer experiences was not limited to service companies or the service function per se.

“Manufacturers must explicitly design their goods to enhance the user’s experience as well — essentially experientializing the goods,” they wrote. “Automakers do this when they focus on enhancing the driving experience. But what could a valve manufacturer do to improve the pumping experience, a furniture producer the sitting experience, a publisher the reading experience?... Any good can be inged.”

From there, the two authors, who cofounded the consulting firm Strategic Horizons LLP, took an even more ambitious leap and declared that experiences weren’t just a way to add value to customer offerings — they were the basis for an entirely new economic era. As the agrarian economy had given way to the industrial economy and the industrial economy to the service economy, now the service economy was morphing into the experience economy. The key question for companies seeking to successfully position themselves in such an economy: What would we do differently if we charged admission?

More than a decade after the book’s publication, Pine and Gilmore are more convinced than ever that customer experience is the basis of a new economy. At their annual “thinkAbout” conference in 2009, they issued a manifesto titled “Economic Sense” that touted customer experience as nothing less than the solution to the U.S. economy’s recessionary doldrums. In an era in which products and services are increasingly automated and jobs are disappearing or being offshored, they wrote, “experiences require increased human capital in their initial conception, comprehensive design, venue placement, and everyday staging.... A prosperous economic future requires the dawn of a new economic era based on experiences.”

Pine and Gilmore created a wave of interest in customer experience that continues to build. Their book still sells 10,000 or so copies annually, according to Gilmore. (Most business books don’t sell that well in their first year, let alone a decade later.) And although the authors were not the originators of the concept of customer experience, their work has inspired a number of other thinkers. Most of these acolytes, however, are focused more on the potential profits that companies can reap when they enhance their customers’ experiences than on building an economy.

A Marketing Advantage

The idea that customer experience might be worth considering on its own merits originated in marketing. It was articulated by Morris B. Holbrook and Elizabeth C. Hirschman in “The Experiential Aspects of Consumption: Consumer Fantasies, Feelings, and Fun,” a paper published in the Journal of Consumer Research in September 1982 that is often cited as the urtext. In the same way that behavioral economists brought new insights to a field that had grown staid and sterile, the two marketing professors picked up threads of research from disciplines such as psychology and biology and applied them in a fresh way to consumer behavior, which had previously been seen as rational and logical, at least in theory.

In contrast to the traditional view, experiential consumption was governed by the pleasure principle. “This type of consumption,” the authors wrote, “seeks fun, amusement, fantasy, arousal, sensory stimulation, and enjoyment.” This approach was quite appealing to marketers who were looking for ways to cope with the price pressures created by the double-dip recession of the early 1980s.

This line of thought was most fully applied to marketing by Bernd H. Schmitt, a colleague of Holbrook’s at Columbia University’s Graduate School of Business and author of Experiential Marketing: How to Get Customers to Sense, Feel, Think, Act, and Relate to Your Company and Brands. In the book, Schmitt echoed Peter Drucker (who paved the way for marketing’s ascendancy when he said, “There is only one valid definition of business purpose: to create a customer”), writing, “Similarly, there is only one valid definition of the purpose of marketing: to create a valuable customer experience.”

Schmitt offered a jargon-rich framework for experiential marketing, saying that marketers could more effectively influence consumers by crafting messages based on five “SEMs” (strategic experiential modules, or types of experiences that correspond to the ways that people interact with the world — sense, feel, think, act, and relate) and delivering them via “ExPros” (experience providers, a category that includes standard marketing vehicles, such as advertising, logos, packaging, and so on).

The most powerful marketing, according to Schmitt, combines SEMs in integrated or holistic experiences. As an example, he pointed to the successful reintroduction of Volkswagen AG’s Beetle in the 1990s in North America, where it helped rescue the German automaker, which had gone from selling 500,000 cars in 1970 to selling fewer than 200,000 in 1988. The new Beetle tapped the sense SEM with its distinctive circular shapes, the feel SEM by eliciting smiles and nostalgia, and the think SEM with ads that asked, “0–60?” and answered, “Yes.” It also tapped the act SEM by suggesting the car would enable customers to inject more fun into their lives and the relate SEM by equating the car with hippies and flower power.

Get a Clue

While Schmitt focused on the role of sensory experience in marketing, others were exploring customer experiences in a broader sense, as a fundamental currency of corporate success. In the Winter 1994 issue of Marketing Management, Lewis P. Carbone, founder of the consulting firm Experience Engineering, and Stephan H. Haeckel, then a director at IBM’s Advanced Business Institute, wrote an article titled “Engineering Customer Experiences,” which began, “Customers always get more than they bargain for, because a product or service always comes with an experience.” In it, they introduced the idea of experience clues, which affect, for better or worse, customer perceptions that arise during the purchase and use of a product or service. (The only mention of Colonial Williamsburg in Pine and Gilmore’s book is the observation that the customer experience is degraded when costumed interpreters speak to visitors in modern vernacular, a finding confirmed recently when an interpreter nattily attired in colonial duds greeted my wife and me with a cheerful, “Hey, how ya doin’?”)

In Clued In: How to Keep Customers Coming Back Again and Again, published a decade after the Marketing Management article, Carbone described these clues as the “essential building blocks of experiences” and explained how to design and deliver them in a systematic way. He identified three categories of clues: functional clues, which are embedded in the product or service; mechanic clues, which are created by the environment; and humanic clues, which stem from people. These clues could be combined to deliver a customer experience.

Leonard L. Berry, a marketing professor at Texas A&M University who is a prominent expert on service quality, and Kent D. Seltman, who served as the Mayo Clinic’s director of marketing for 14 years, provide a terrific case study of how these clues come together in practice in Chapter 7 of their book,Management Lessons from Mayo Clinic: Inside One of the World’s Most Admired Service Organizations. They point to the clinic’s team-based approach, which delivers expert treatment in coordinated fashion, as a functional clue; to the interior design of the buildings, which are intended to reduce patient stress, as a mechanic clue; and to the professional but warm and empathic behavior of the staff as a humanic clue.

A Value Proposition

One reason customer experience is proving to be an enduring concept is that it is eminently scalable: It is relevant to the tiniest detail of a product’s packaging, the fundamental processes and strategy of a business, and the development of a national economy. As with the concept of quality before it, every aspect of, and activity within, a company can contribute to or detract from the customer experience. Thus, designing and delivering the customer experience involves every function and person in a company.

Lior Arussy, the founder and president of the consultancy Strativity Group, develops this idea in his new book, Customer Experience Strategy: The Complete Guide from Innovation to Execution, when he writes, “Customer experience is the total value proposition provided to a customer, including the actual product, and all interactions with the customer — pre-sale, at point of sale, and post-sale. This value includes experience attributes such as on-time delivery and the quality of products, as well as the experience attitudes, such as the emotional engagement created during interaction with the customers.”

Companies have been pursuing value propositions that depend on creative and memorable customer experiences for decades, sometimes very successfully. When I wrote Be Our Guest: Perfecting the Art of Customer Service (Disney Editions, 2001) for the Disney Institute, I learned that Disney’s imagineers design attractions and, indeed, everything within the parks, by considering and aligning service strategy and delivery, setting, and employees. In the Haunted Mansion at the Walt Disney World Resort in Orlando, Fla., for instance, the speed of the “Doom Buggies” that determine the guest flow through the attraction is set so that park-goers can take in the full effect of the setting — down to the dust, which is purchased in 5-pound bags and carefully blown into place. Further, the cast members, who are costumed as maids and butlers and trained to stay in character by learning scripts and detailed backstories for resident ghosts, are simultaneously part of the setting and guest-flow managers. Shades of Carbone’s clues, right?

Geek Squad, the computer repair company that was founded in 1994 and acquired by Best Buy in 2002, is another notable case of a business that has created a value proposition around customer experience. In “The Geek Squad Guide to World Domination: A Case for the Experience Economy,” an entertaining and lesson-packed DVD published by the Batten Institute at the University of Virginia’s Darden School of Business, company founder and two-time college dropout Robert Stephens describes how he combined computer nerds and Dragnet, the iconic television crime drama from the 1950s and ’60s, to differentiate himself from his competitors when he started the business.

“What if this company were like a movie?” Stephens recalls thinking. “The plot is this: the world’s most unpopular people sought after by the world’s most popular people. The audience is going to love this movie because they’re endearing to us, because we see a bit of ourselves in these people. There’s a lifestyle. Well, there’s a lifestyle to the geek, but not necessarily one you want to adopt. But it’s the lifestyle of the person you want when you have a problem.” He was right. By 2008, Geek Squad employed almost 20,000 “special agents” worldwide.

The Tupperware Brands Corporation, with an independent direct sales force of 2.4 million people in more than 100 countries and US$2.1 billion in annual revenues, is yet another company that created a value proposition around a customer experience — the Tupperware party, which combined a social gathering in a host’s home with sales of housewares and personal-care products. But how do you stand out when 2 million other people are giving the same party as you? Sales representative Robert Suchin recently figured out a way. He kicked the experience up a notch by dressing and selling as “Aunt Barbara,” a saucy caricature of a Long Island, N.Y., housewife circa 1970, and he has become one of the company’s top-selling U.S. reps in the process. (You can see him in action atwww.youtube.com/user/AuntBarbara.)

Managing the Experience

Of course, there are many companies in which it wouldn’t be appropriate to give employees the kind of experiential free rein that produces an Aunt Barbara. This suggests that there is a need for customer experience oversight and management. Enter the chief customer officer (CCO), described by Jeanne Bliss, managing partner of the consultancy CustomerBliss, as an unenviable senior executive who typically has a broad mandate — responsibility for every aspect of customer relationships, including experiences — and little formal authority.

Having served as a senior customer experience executive at Lands’ End, Microsoft, and Allstate, Bliss clearly knows this territory. Her book Chief Customer Officer: Getting Past Lip Service to Passionate Action, is a testament to that fact, even if it veers off into redundancy a little too often.

Bliss is far too objective to recommend that all companies appoint CCOs. Instead, she advocates an audit designed to reveal how well equipped a company is to deliver customer experiences. A CCO may not be needed, she says, “if you can drive a company connection at the beginning of the work, have a consistent process to manage throughout the work, and build in metrics to consistently judge the work.”

Structuring and managing the work is another story. Lior Arussy’s self-published book, Customer Experience Strategy, is the most ambitious and successful attempt at a comprehensive text on the practice of customer experience management (CEM) to date. Based on his firm’s CEM certification course, the book is organized around a six-stage, closed-loop process that includes customer experience definition, development, organization, delivery, measurement, and, finally, redefinition.

The book is also refreshingly practical. Arussy has seen enough stillborn customer experience initiatives to point out the flawed assumptions and operational pitfalls that must be avoided. For instance, he advises companies to hire people who are passionate about designing and delivering customer experiences: “Don’t fool yourself into believing that you can incentivize creativity, caring, and leadership. Such qualities can’t be instilled in people if they’re not there already.... You can’t throw a plasma TV at employees and get caring in return.”

The worthiness of Arussy’s book notwithstanding, there are two reasons that no single book has yet filled that space on the bookshelf reserved for a must-read guide to CEM practice. First, CEM is an organizational capability that requires different structures, processes, and cultures in different companies. For example, the customer experiences at Apple Inc. and Dell Inc. were historically derived from opposite sources: Apple’s was product-based, Dell’s service-based. As a result, they had to be designed and delivered in a completely different ways. Second, CEM is a business capability that has only recently emerged and that has yet to develop into a coherent discipline. But with more and more companies searching for differentiation and competitive advantage in crowded, price-sensitive markets, it seems a good bet that the space won’t remain unoccupied much longer.

Reprint No. 10308

AUTHOR PROFILE:

  • Theodore Kinni is a senior editor for strategy+business. He has written, cowritten, or ghostwritten 13 books, including Be Our Guest: Perfecting the Art of Customer Service(Disney Editions, 2001) and 1001 Ways to Keep Customers Coming Back (Three Rivers Press, 1999).
  • Members of the customer experience management group on LinkedIn provided valuable assistance in identifying the books, articles, and other resources that formed the research base for this article.

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