「華人戴明學院」是戴明哲學的學習共同體 ,致力於淵博型智識系統的研究、推廣和運用。 The purpose of this blog is to advance the ideas and ideals of W. Edwards Deming.

2010年4月25日 星期日

Communications, “lean start-up”

鍾漢清,現在從事企業管理顧問。東海大學工業工程系畢業(1975),英國Essex大學統計暨作業研究碩士(1978)。曾兼任於東海大學建築研究所和化工系 ,並曾任職於飛利浦、工研院電子所、摩托羅拉、杜邦等公司 。擔任過工業工程、品管、工程、行銷、銷售、大中華巿場開發專案等 職能的主管。著有《品質成本管理》《台灣戴明圈》《轉型》;翻譯過 W. Edwards Deming《轉危為安》、J. M. Juran的《管理三部曲》、P. Schotes《戴明領導手冊》、B. Joiner《第四代管理》《精實革命》《戴明博士文選》《Simon 管理行為》等等。



品質、 生產力與組織效能 (Quality, Productivity and Organizational Effectiveness)

宗旨: 這個兩天(12小時)的課程,目的是希望幫助學員了解: 20世紀半葉發展出的新整合知識,即,如何促進組織的"品質、生產力與效能"



我將"品質、生產力與組織效能"用簡易的"鍾氏三角"來表示: "品質""生產力""組織效能"各為三角之頂點,各設計成一模組 (3小時、含一小時之小組演練或遊戲)

第一模組
綜述與組織效能: 開會技術(meeting technology)到一體團隊 (all-one-team)

第二模組 統計品管到品質三部曲: 規劃,控制與改善。
第三模組
精實 (LEAN)與豐田生產方式
第四模組
領導與開創/ 組織的轉型 ,持續改善 面面觀。探討我們的經歷和經驗/ 我所所知 道的台商之中國/亞洲廠之轉型經驗



Strategic Communications Means MBOs: Management

Viewpoint by Jorrian Gelink, Management Architect, WCW Columnist

“The most important thing about communication is to hear what isn’t being said.” – Peter Drucker

Improving management communication is a continuous and ongoing process across all organizations. The addition of the internet, web-conferencing, administrative assistants, technology such as the BlackBerry or software that uses “cloud” computing; all these tools increase efficiency but may have little or no impact on organizational effectiveness. The guaranteed result of communicating the wrong information faster is getting the wrong tasks done faster. The framework of effective and functional communication is through management by objectives.

Management by objectives is the allocation of tasks focused toward a single or multiple goals. In Stephen Covey’s book The Seven Habits of Highly Effective People, this would be “Beginning with the End in Mind”. Without concrete goals the entire team from the executive level down to the front line can follow, you fall victim to “management by inertia”: management by the way the environment forces you to manage. Of course, allocating the right tasks and making sure it is executed comes down to effective communication.

Consider the two scenarios below:

Company ABC in the Food & Services Industry:
Goal: Not passed down properly. “Inertia” goal is to “work hard and be productive”.

Management Communication:

Manager: “All right Sabrina, what I need you to do today is just keep busy, keeping cooking food so we can fill orders. Go, go, go and if someone else needs help, go help them as well.”

End Result:

Sabrina: “What a rough day today, I pushed myself to the limit cooking all this food for four hours straight and by the end of the day, we had tons of leftovers! My manager told me to just throw it out and to get ready for another day tomorrow. I also fell behind cooking because I was told to help everyone around me; I can’t stand it when my tasks fall through because of others!”

Company X in the Hotel Industry:

Goal: Create a memorable experience for each and every guest.

Management Communication:

Manager: “All right William, let’s do what we always do best and be creative with our guests. Yesterday, you had a customer compliment regarding the time you took during your break to deliver a magazine to her door. She was ecstatic and when she checked out of her suite brought it to my attention! Re-create that experience today, and let me know how it goes.”

End Result:

William: “Had an amazing day today, receiving a customer compliment always brightens up my day. Work is a breeze, I love being creative and coming up with new things I can do to make our guests remember me positively forever. Our hotel does well too, I have been seeing more clients come in and we can barely keep our rooms vacant! That’s why I work here, to use my talents.”

It is clear from these two examples which company performs and makes effective use of their time. From a management and direct engagement perspective, it is straight-forward on which company has stronger engagement leading to stronger performance.

The objective needs to be a concrete goal that one can gain experience from, build on new skills, find new and better ways to execute and develop decision-making processes within the employees. This indirect learning of skills comes from the human intuition to constantly find engaging ways to complete what they are responsible and accountable for.

Management communicating effectively through management by objectives is the core piece that defines whether an organization will succeed or ultimately fail. The separation of what one likes to do and what the situation requires of you is one that depends on what your core objectives are, and how you communicate them.



****
Unboxed

The Rise of the Fleet-Footed Start-Up


ERIC RIES and Steven Blank think they have a better way to build a start-up, one that takes less time and money to try new ideas and find paying customers. They are leading proponents of the “lean start-up” — a fresh approach to creating companies that has attracted much attention in the last year or so among Silicon Valley entrepreneurs, technologists and investors.

Jim Wilson/The New York Times

Eric Ries, left, with Farbood Nivi of Grockit, an online education network. Early on, Mr. Ries says, companies must create something there is a real market for.

Peter DaSilva for The New York Times

Steven Blank teaching at Berkeley. Since 1978, he has been a founder or early investor in eight start-up companies.

The concept is gaining a following beyond the Valley as well. “If it works, it will reduce failure rates for entrepreneurial ventures and boost innovation,” says Thomas R. Eisenmann, a professor at the Harvard Business School. “That’s a big deal for the economy.”

The term “lean start-up” was coined by Mr. Ries, 31, an engineer, entrepreneur and blogger. His inspiration, he says, was the lean manufacturing process, fine-tuned in Japanese factories decades ago and focused on eliminating any work or investment that doesn’t produce value for customers.

“This is lean manufacturing for start-ups,” explains Mr. Blank, 56, a serial entrepreneur.

Since 1978, he has been a founder or early employee in eight start-ups, both winners and losers. To cite a couple, Rocket Science Games, a once-promising video game maker, founded in 1993, cratered amid losses a few years later, while Epiphany, a business software company, founded in 1997, was acquired by a larger corporation for $329 million in 2005 — “one my grandchildren will be grateful for,” Mr. Blank notes.

Today, he advises start-up companies and teaches at Stanford and the University of California, Berkeley.

Technology animates the lean start-up process. Free open-source programming tools and easily distributed Web-based software drive down the cost of developing new products and services. The early companies embracing the principles live largely on the Web, which makes it possible to measure and track customer behavior constantly and to invite suggestions and criticism.

Internet companies have steadily taken advantage of the falling costs of getting up and running — often spending just hundreds of thousands of dollars instead of the millions that were required several years ago. But the lean start-up formula adds management practices tailored to exploit the Web environment.

The concepts apply both to designing products and to developing a market, and emphasize an early and constant focus on customers. To be sure, the methods often build on the work of others.

In product development, for example, Mr. Ries is an enthusiast of so-called agile programming methods, which emphasize rapid development, small teams and constant improvement. But, he adds: “The agile practices have to be adapted, shifting the focus somewhat from generating stuff to learning about what customers will want. Most technology start-ups fail not because the technology doesn’t work, but because they are making something that there is not a real market for.”

So the lean playbook advises quick development of a “minimum viable product,” designed with the smallest set of features that will please some group of customers. Then, the start-up should continually experiment by tweaking its offering, seeing how the market responds and changing the product accordingly. Facebook, the giant social network, grew that way, starting with simple messaging services and then adding other features.

The goal, explains Mr. Blank, is to accelerate the pace of learning. “A start-up is a temporary organization designed to discover a profitable, scalable business model,” he says.

Mr. Ries points to his own experience as a study in contrasts between the traditional start-up model and the lean approach. He was a senior engineer at There.com, a 3-D virtual world, from 2001 to 2003. There.com raised $40 million and spent years in stealth mode, building impressive technology, he recalls. But it had so much invested in one technology path and one business plan that the company lost its ability to change, Mr. Ries says.

To switch course, Mr. Ries joined a founder of There.com, Will Harvey, and in 2004 they started a company called IMVU, a social network in which users chat online and create personalized avatars. By design, it raised no outside money in the early going. “I didn’t want us to have the freedom to go for years without customer feedback,” recalls Mr. Harvey.

IMVU began as a bootstrap operation, a forerunner of the lean start-up model. Its early revenue goals were just a few hundred dollars a month. (Users buy clothing and other virtual goods for their avatars.) Today, while There.com has folded, IMVU claims one million active users — and is profitable, says Mr. Harvey, the chairman.

Many young Internet businesses have embraced the lean start-up principles of beginning small and getting products into the marketplace quickly in pursuit of paying customers. Several gathered last week at a conference in San Francisco, including representatives from Grockit, an online education network; KISSmetrics, a Web site measurement business; and Dropbox, an online file storage and sharing service. Others represented PBworks (Web collaboration tools), Flowtown (software for social media marketing) and Aardvark (a social network search service, recently acquired by Google).

THE rise of smaller, fleet-footed companies in the lean start-up mold is also bringing changes in venture financing. These companies are typically funded with $500,000 or so from professional angel investors instead of traditional venture capital firms, which are geared toward investing millions at a time. The venture capital investment may well come later, when the companies need money for expansion.

But, according to some Silicon Valley veterans, this means a shrinking role for venture capitalists in seeking and backing promising young entrepreneurs. That vital task in the food chain of capitalism, they add, is increasingly being taken over by major angel investors like Ron Conway, Dave McClure and Mike Maples Jr.

“Venture capital has to reinvent itself for this world,” says Mitchell Kapor, an angel investor who has made 25 investments in lean start-up companies in the last two years.

2010年4月21日 星期三

台灣戴明圈 336-42


台灣戴明圈

342

经济学不是科学


4月的第二个周末,一群非常杰出的经济学家汇聚一堂,参加 了由乔治•索罗斯(George Soros)倡议的新经济思维研究所(Institute for New Economic Thinking)创立大会。面对最近这场危机中经济学的失败之处,他们扪心自问。失败在两个领域最为明显:现代金融经济学的基石——有效市场假说的失 效,以及近代宏观经济学理论的无用。

有效市场假说的核心思想是,价格是估算资产潜在价值的最佳表现形式。这个论点最近遭遇重创。美国房地产 泡沫促成了货币市场的繁荣与萧条。在泡沫之前,“新经济”一败涂地,而长期资本管理公司(Long-Term Capital Management)也几近崩溃,这家对冲基金从一开始就是金融经济学复杂性的最佳例证。

而当前高等经济学中教授的宏观经济学大体上是基于一种名为动态随机一般均衡(DSGE)的分析模式。这个乏味的名字本身就泄漏了天机:理论家们大多是在自说自话。在预测危机、分析危机进展和提供应对措施建议方面,他们的理论几乎一无是处。

近 期的经济政策激辩不仅在很大程度上忽视了动态随机一般均衡模型,而且与上世纪30年代的经济政策之辩有着惊人的相似之处,尽管最终的解决方式有所不同。被 引用最多的经济学家是约翰•梅纳德•凯恩斯(John Maynard Keynes)和海曼•明斯基(Hyman Minsky),两者都已去世。

无论是有效市场假设还是动态随机 一般均衡模型,都与理性预期的概念有关——大概可以如下描述这个概念,即家庭和企业在做经济决定时仿佛掌握着关于这个世界的一切可知信息。如果你纳闷为何 这样一种难以置信的理念会被普遍接受,部分原因在于它的保守含义。根据理性预期理论,公司和家庭不仅与决策者知道的一样多,而且还能预料到政府的行动,因 此政府做到最好也不过是维持自身的可预测性。大多数经济政策都是无效的。

自由市场中的大部分干预手段亦是如此。有人认为那些购买次贷或基于 次贷的证券化产品的人之所以这么做是因为掌握的信息比卖家少,这种观点是没有存在空间的。当高盛(Goldman Sachs)的男男女女做着“上帝的工作”时,他们赚得的利润并非来自信息优势,而是他们服务的价值。政府在经济中扮演的角色是保证市场运转。

这 些理论的吸引力远远超越了富人和保守派阶层,其中有着更深层次的原因。如果说有一种简单的、单一的、放诸四海而皆准的经济行为学理论,那么由理性预期、有 效市场假说和动态随机一般均衡模型所组成的那一套论点就是那种理论。任何其他描述这个世界的方式都必须认识到人们的行动由他们的信念和感知(难免会出错) 所决定,必须承认一切皆无定数,必须适应行动对于不断变化的社会及文化准则的依赖。这样一来,经济模型就无法放诸四海而皆准:它们必须因地制宜。

标 准方法有着科学的外表,因为它能根据少数几种原理得出清晰的预测。但这只是表象而已,因为这些预测往往是错误的。在投资者和决策者所面对的真实环境中,行 动确实取决于信念和感知、必须应对不确定性、也是社会背景的产物。没有什么放诸四海而皆准的经济理论,而新经济思维必然应该是兼收并蓄的。这种见解就是凯 恩斯最伟大的遗产。

约翰•凯是新经济思维研究所顾问委员会成员之一。

译者/管婧

Economics may be dismal, but it is not a science


A remarkably distinguished group of economists gathered last weekend for the inaugural conference of the Institute for New Economic Thinking, an initiative of George Soros. They were soul searching over the failures of economics in the recent crisis. Such failures are most evident in two areas: the inadequacies of the efficient market hypothesis, the bedrock of modern financial economics, and the irrelevance of recent macroeconomic theory.

The central idea of the efficient market hypothesis is that prices represent the best estimate of the underlying value of assets. This thesis has recently taken a battering. The boom and bust in the money markets was precipitated by a US housing bubble. That bubble followed the New Economy fiasco and was preceded by the near-failure of Long Term Capital Management, a hedge fund designed to showcase sophisticated financial economics.

The macroeconomics taught in advanced economics today is largely based on analysis labelled dynamic stochastic general equilibrium. The unappealing title gives the game away: the theorists are mostly talking to themselves. Their theories proved virtually useless in anticipating the crisis, analysing its development and recommending measures to deal with it.

Recent economic policy debates have not only largely ignored DSGE, but have also been remarkably similar to the economic policy debates of the 1930s, although they have been resolved differently. The economists quoted most often are John Maynard Keynes and Hyman Minsky, both of whom are dead.


Both the efficient market hypothesis and DSGE are associated with the idea of rational expectations - which might be described as the idea that households and companies make economic decisions as if they had available to them all the information about the world that might be available. If you wonder why such an implausible notion has won wide acceptance, part of the explanation lies in its conservative implications. Under rational expectations, not only do firms and households know already as much as policymakers, but they also anticipate what the government itself will do, so the best thing government can do is to remain predictable. Most economic policy is futile.

So is most interference in free markets. There is no room for the notion that people bought subprime mortgages or securitised products based on them because they knew less than the people who sold them. When the men and women of Goldman Sachs perform "God's work", the profits they make come not from information advantages, but from the value of their services. The economic role of government is to keep markets working.

These theories have appeal beyond the ranks of the rich and conservative for a deeper reason. If there were a simple, single, universal theory of economic behaviour, then the suite of arguments comprising rational expectations, efficient markets and DSEG would be that theory. Any other way of describing the world would have to recognise that what people do depends on their fallible beliefs and perceptions, would have to acknowledge uncertainty, and would accommodate the dependence of actions on changing social and cultural norms. Models could not then be universal: they would have to be specific to contexts.

The standard approach has the appearance of science in its ability to generate clear predictions from a small number of axioms. But only the appearance, since these predictions are mostly false. The environment actually faced by investors and economic policymakers is one in which actions do depend on beliefs and perceptions, must deal with uncertainty and are the product of a social context. There is no universal economic theory, and new economic thinking must necessarily be eclectic. That insight is Keynes's greatest legacy.

John Kay is a member of the advisory board of the Institute for New Economic Thinking


341
說的 跟做的 可能各一套
巧言令色

雙英辯/馬:台灣補藥 蔡:糖衣毒藥

自由時報 - ‎6小時之前‎
〔記者施曉光/台北報導〕雙英辯論第四輪交互詰問中,先提問的馬英九總統主攻綠營口口聲聲政府資訊不透明,卻不斷杯葛行政部門報告,立場矛盾,進而強調兩岸開放政策是補藥,絕非所謂「包裹糖衣的毒藥」;民進黨主席蔡英文反批馬政府拒絕提供有用資訊,反諷馬總統 ...

340

Why Do Firms Use Non-Linear Incentive Schemes? Experimental Evidence on Sorting and Overconfidence

Published:April 21, 2010
Paper Released:March 2010
Authors:Ian Larkin and Stephen Leider

Executive Summary:

The use of "non-linear" performance-based incentive contracts is very common in many business environments. The most well-known example is salesperson compensation, though many other types of performance-based pay, including stock options, bonus systems based on defined metrics, and pay based on subjective performance, often exhibit non-linear characteristics. Research has demonstrated that non-linear incentives are highly distortionary because employees manipulate their work in order to maximize their pay. While some scholars have recommended that companies stop using non-linear incentives, little research has been done to investigate the possible benefits of non-linear schemes. In this paper, HBS professor Ian Larkin and Ross School of Business professor Stephen Leider (HBS PhD '09) explore the role that the behavioral bias of overconfidence may play in explaining the prevalence of non-linear incentive schemes. They conclude that the linearity or non-linearity of an incentive system could play an important role in sorting employees according to their level of confidence; in addition, there may be three possible benefits to having overconfident employees. Key concepts include:

  • First, overconfidence is valuable for certain job functions; for example, salespeople lose deals much more frequently than they win them, and being overconfident may help them be effective despite the many failures they go through.
  • Second, absent non-linear contracts, employers and overconfident employees may have a difficult time agreeing to a compensation scheme in the first place. Non-linear systems allow employers and employees with fundamentally different beliefs form compensation agreements.
  • Third, the non-linearity of an incentive system may allow firms to lower their wage bill. A convex scheme, for example, may allow firms to take advantage of overconfident employees' systematic and persistent bias toward believing they will perform well.
  • The study confirms recent findings in psychology literature that overconfidence is not an individual trait so much as a trait around a specific task.

Abstract

Non-linear incentive schemes are commonly used to determine employee pay, despite their distortionary impact. We investigate possible reasons for their widespread use by examining the relationship between convex pay schemes and overconfidence. In a laboratory experiment, subjects chose between a piece rate and a convex pay scheme. We find that overconfident subjects are more likely than others to choose the convex scheme, even when it leads to lower pay. Overconfident subjects also persist in making the mistake despite clear feedback. These results suggest non-linear pay schemes may help companies select and retain overconfident workers, and may reduce the wage bill. 35 pages.

Paper Information



339
台大有一領袖/領導學程 在圖書館搞什麼 "嶺悟展" 如攀登喜馬拉亞山等等

內政部徴"增子150萬"

這些正如各地開花的"ECFA"廣告

都是造假 反教育

338


The Census Bureau is hiring a million or more people to assist with the 2010 count. It is temporary work, but it pays well. With national unemployment at nearly 10 percent, it looks like an excellent opportunity. That is unless you are one of the nearly 50 million Americans with any arrest or conviction on record.

A new class-action lawsuit has been filed on behalf of applicants who say they were unfairly turned down for census jobs based on an opaque screening policy that relies on F.B.I. checks for any criminal histories. Those checks are notoriously unreliable. A 2006 federal report found that half of them were inaccurate or out of date.

The Census Bureau is vague about what makes someone ineligible. In Congressional testimony, it suggested that it is excluding people who have been convicted of crimes involving violence and dishonesty. The bureau’s Web site seems to say that applicants whose background checks turn up any arrest — no matter how trivial, distant in time, irrelevant to the job — receive a letter advising them that they can remain eligible only if they produce “official court documentation” bearing on the case within 30 days. Incredibly, the letter does not identify the alleged criminal activity. Applicants must prove eligibility, even if they don’t know why they were flagged.

Official court records are often unobtainable for the millions of people whose convictions have been sealed or expunged or for people who have been arrested and released because of lack of evidence or mistaken arrest. This problem falls heaviest on black and Hispanic communities where stop-and-frisk policies and indiscriminate arrests are common.

The hiring problem is not limited to the Census Bureau. After 9/11, Congress required port workers to undergo F.B.I. background checks to keep their jobs. Last year, a study by the National Employment Law Project, an advocacy group for workers, found that the government had mistakenly denied credentials to tens of thousands of those workers.

States and cities are wisely revising employment policies. The federal government needs to develop a fair and transparent screening system for job applicants and a more effective appeals process. Congress must also require the F.B.I. to verify the criminal records — and find missing data before issuing background checks.


337

World Renowned Deming Seminar Comes to Los Angeles: June 7-9, 2010

Learn Proven Ways to Survive, Thrive and Build Customer Loyalty

LOS ANGELES, April 20 /PRNewswire/ -- In search of a proven method that will transform your organization and your ability to innovate and exceed expectations? For decades, Dr. W. Edwards Deming, a name synonymous with quality, taught companies, governments, and businesses around the world how to compete in a world of shrinking margins and increased competition. Dr. Deming's approach to business pulled an entire nation out of crisis.

On June 7-9, The W. Edwards Deming Institute® will present "Out of the Crisis," its 21st century management seminar to Los Angeles. This signature seminar provides the knowledge to transform your organization for the challenges of today while being prepared for those of tomorrow.

"Deming's practices are timeless and as relevant today as they were decades ago, if not more," asserts Los Angeles based business pioneer, Robert Rodin, former CEO of Marshall Industries. After Rodin met Dr. Deming in 1989, he transformed his conventionally successful $500 million company into a $2 billion global competitor. His industrial electronics distribution and supply company grew to 2500 employees and 77,000 customers in 36 countries. "Deming showed me that we could break down the old barriers, reinvent ourselves and integrate the voice of the customer into every corner of our business while preparing ourselves for a future you can't predict," added Rodin.

Why are Deming's ideas the answer? Dr. Deming ignited the worldwide "quality" revolution. In 1950, Japanese industry was in ruins and "Made in Japan" was synonymous with poor quality. In an effort to revive their ailing economy, the Japanese government invited Dr. Deming to Japan. After Japanese executives attended his many seminars, they revitalized their industry and their economy. In recognition, the Emperor of Japan awarded Deming the highly coveted Second Order Medal of the Sacred Treasure. In 1980, a highly acclaimed NBC documentary introduced his principles to America's greatest companies. Deming became the voice of quality worldwide.

The Deming Institute seminar identifies practices that create problems in organizations and then introduces attendees to management practices that are both proven and revolutionary – ones that will lead them on a path to short-term recovery and long-term sustainability.

The seminar is designed for a broad range of executives, managers and team leaders eager to elevate productivity, think strategically and create a sustained competitive advantage. "Deming understood that quality was not the answer but the outcome of better leadership, management and practice," says Deming's grandson, Kevin Edwards Cahill, Vice President of The W. Edwards Deming Institute®. "Whether you are a start-up or established organization, these proven management practices will profoundly affect your bottom line. My grandfather's legacy lives through this seminar and I encourage you to sign up today."

"Out of the Crisis, Los Angeles," a two-and-a-half day event will feature Deming Institute trained facilitators Kelly Allan, Senior Associate of Kelly Allan Associates, Ltd and Jussi Kyllonen, Quality Systems Manager at Eaton Corporation Aerospace Operations. The seminar will be held on June 7-9, 2010 at the Ayres Hotel Hawthorne / Manhattan Beach / LAX. (14400 Hindry Ave. Hawthorne, CA, 90250) For more information, or to register, visit www.deming.org.

The W. Edwards Deming Institute® is a not for profit 501(c)3 organization incorporated in Washington, DC with offices in Los Angeles, CA. (Logo: http://www.newscom.com/cgi-bin/prnh/20090612/NE31805LOGO )

SOURCE The W. Edwards Deming Institute

336

海國圖志

主要作者 清 魏 源
書名/作者 海國圖志 一百卷(卷四十四至卷一百) / (清)魏源撰
出版項 上海市 : 上海古籍, 1995序-

總圖1樓四庫全書專區 082.1 2426 v.744

《海國圖志》已有螺絲釘一詞
p.546 火板圖中說明

2010年4月13日 星期二

台灣戴明圈 330-35

台灣戴明圈


335

Why Iceland's Minor Volcano Is a Major Problem By Bryan Walsh The eruption in Iceland hardly compares with some of the major ones in history. But in our interconnected modern world, the impact can be massive

334

作業定義
消基會:牛橫膈膜是內臟牛舌風險亦高
自由時報
〔中央社〕美牛輸台爭議不斷,消基會董事長謝天仁指出,牛的橫膈膜屬於牛內臟,牛舌風險也很高,OIE 正考慮將牛睪丸列為高風險範圍;政府認為橫膈膜不是內臟,真是「不可思議」。 中華民國消費者文教基金會董事長謝天仁今天接受中央社記者訪問時指出,立法院今年初修正 ...


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Toyota recalls 600000 Sienna minivans
The Associated Press
Separately, Toyota said its engineers in Japan had duplicated the same results of tests that led Consumer Reports to issue a rare "don't buy" warning on the ...


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Toyota Agrees Lexus S.U.V. Has Problem With Handling

Toyota said Friday that its engineers had duplicated the errant slide that prompted Consumer Reports to issue a “don’t buy” warning on the 2010 Lexus GX 460 and acknowledged that the vehicle had a safety problem.

A Lexus spokesman, Bill Kwong, said the engineers in Japan had “duplicated Consumer Reports’ results on the GX 460, and they are currently evaluating potential remedies, but at this point there are no details of what the remedy is.”

On Tuesday, Consumer Reports announced that its tests had uncovered a dangerous handling problem that caused the rear end of the GX 460 to swerve, putting the sport utility vehicle at risk for a rollover. “When pushed to its limits on our track’s handling course,” the magazine wrote on its Web site, “the rear of the GX we bought slid out until the vehicle was almost sideways before the electronic stability control system was able to regain control.”

Mr. Kwong said Friday that the automaker “definitely” considered the tail sliding to be a safety issue and was “very concerned.” He said Toyota hoped to have the problem isolated in no more than a week.

About 12 hours after the magazine publicized the problem, Lexus told its dealers to stop selling the GX 460 and started an investigation. On Thursday, Toyota said it was conducting safety inspections of all its S.U.V. models. Consumer Reports said that on other S.U.V.’s it tested — including models from Lexus and Toyota — the electronic stability control quickly caught the slide.

Separately, Toyota has until Monday to tell the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration whether it will contest a proposed $16.4 million fine over reportedly failing to disclose information concerning a sticky pedal recall. If Toyota decides to fight the fine, the agency could take it to court.

Elsewhere, the House Energy and Commerce Committee said that it would hold a second hearing on Toyota on May 6 to continue its investigation of whether electronic systems played a role in Toyota’s sticky-pedal recalls. The committee’s first hearingwas in late February.

The committee has invited James E. Lentz, the president of Toyota Motor Sales U.S.A., to testify, as he did at the original hearing. Lawmakers also asked Toyota to provide documents concerning tests by Exponent, an engineering consulting firm, into electronic systems. It is seeking the documents by April 26.

Siennas Are Recalled

WASHINGTON (AP) — Toyota said on Friday that it was recalling 600,000 Sienna minivans sold in the United States to address potential rusting spare tire cables that could break and create a road hazard.

Toyota said its latest recall covered the 1998-2010 model year Siennas with two-wheel drive that have been sold or registered in 20 cold-climate states and the District of Columbia. Toyota said road salt could cause the carrier cable that holds the spare tire to rust and break, allowing the tire to tumble onto the road.

Toyota said it was unaware of any accidents or injuries. The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration said it had received six complaints of spare tires falling off Siennas.

Micheline Maynard contributed reporting.



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1 in 3 Americans Failed to Return Census Forms
By SAM ROBERTS
Nearly one in three Americans failed to return their census questionnaires by Friday’s official deadline, the Census Bureau said.

More forms were expected to be received over the weekend. Census workers will not begin going door to door until May 1 to count people who did not return their questionnaires by mail.

As of early Friday, the mail participation rate was 68 percent. The mail participation rate, which the bureau is using this year for the first time, is the percentage of forms mailed back by households that received them.

Unlike the mail response rate, which the census used in earlier counts, it excludes forms returned by the postal service as undeliverable, often because a house or apartment was vacant. The mail response rate was 67 percent in 2000. If the undeliverable forms had been excluded then, the mail participation rate would have been 72 percent.

Final rates for this year’s count will not be posted until early May, so it was unclear whether this year’s unprecedented publicity and marketing campaigns had reversed a decades-long decline.

Wisconsin logged the highest participation rate of any state, 78 percent, followed by Minnesota (76 percent) and Iowa (75 percent). The lowest rates were in New Mexico (59 percent) and Louisiana (60 percent). Livonia, Mich., recorded the highest rate, 85 percent, among places with 50,000 or more people.

An analysis by the Center for Urban Research at the City University of New York found that 10 percent of counties had exceeded their 2000 rates by five percentage points or more. Some of the urban neighborhoods typically considered hardest to count appear to have been among the highest-rated areas this time.

The research center said the gains might be a result of the Census Bureau’s advertising campaign and community outreach as well as changing demographics.

In big cities, predominantly black areas tended to have lower participation rates than mostly white ones. Detroit was an exception. While Hispanic areas generally logged lower participation rates, that was not the case in Miami, Newark and New York.



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After years of answering requests one at a time, I am posting some articles, book excerpts and video clips that I have assembled over the years. This web site identifies people, values, theories, research, and methods related to organization development and social change that I've come to appreciate since 1969. To date I have posted a bibliography of books and articles, a brief personal history, downloadable copies of articles and speeches, and excerpts from Productive Workplaces Revisited, published by Jossey-Bass/Wiley in 2004. I am building this site over an 18 month period, starting in 2005, with help from technology consultant Thomas Forstik.

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