新經濟學與台灣戴明圈: The New Economics and A Taiwanese Deming Circle

「華人戴明學院」是戴明哲學的學習共同體 ,致力於淵博型智識系統的研究、推廣和運用。 The purpose of this blog is to advance the ideas and ideals of W. Edwards Deming.

2025年6月6日 星期五

陳思宏 談書中錯字等: 我真的覺得一本書是人做的,是人,當然就會有閃失,有鬼遮眼,有一些詞彙上的前後脈絡討論。又不影響整本閱讀,我不會「哈!抓到了!有錯字!」 因為是人做的,不是把稿子丟給AI。小說寫人,充滿錯誤的人,缺陷迷人。

 在網路上看到,有讀者不太開心,因為吳明益的全新繪本,裡頭有小錯字。 大塊跟編輯,剛剛都發出道歉聲明了。 道歉,當然是因為吳明益是巨大的文學指標。我們小作者,不太會需要抵達道歉的境界。 讀者要怎麼反應,當然都是個人自由。我不干涉。 


我是說我自己。 我自己讀書,老實說不太會鷹眼糾錯。我真的覺得一本書是人做的,是人,當然就會有閃失,有鬼遮眼,有一些詞彙上的前後脈絡討論。又不影響整本閱讀,我不會「哈!抓到了!有錯字!」 因為是人做的,不是把稿子丟給AI。小說寫人,充滿錯誤的人,缺陷迷人。


吳明益是人,手繪,人打字寫字,編輯這端看一千遍,還是閃過了某單字。這豈不迷人。我好喜歡。



 還有,我讀到的是多美麗的圖,而不是擱淺錯字,馬上去大聲糾舉。 尤其是這年代。要珍惜人類的各種自然人錯誤。 我們不靠AI創作。整個世界都看衰我們,說我們就要被機器取代了。我們繼續傻傻這樣做。一點點錯,我好喜歡喔。這版本,太需要珍藏了吧。 上個月我在現流冊店簽書,有一本《鬼地方》封面印刷錯誤,我請老闆沛澤去退書,他立刻說不要,要珍藏,請我在封面手寫「鬼地方」三字。 編輯是很辛苦很辛苦的人。他們是人。人多美麗。人多脆弱。大家都說我們就是要被取代了,沒有未來了。但我們繼續脆弱。這種脆弱,好勇敢。 反正吳明益一定會再刷又再刷。這首刷版本,絕對雋永珍貴。 我要跟我的編輯說。我們是人,我們會錯。我熱愛我們的脆弱與肉身。 當然還是歡迎讀者熱烈糾錯啦。這是大家自由。 我自己,喜歡易碎的,有錯的,不那麼好端端的,有裂痕的。

2025年6月4日 星期三

Designing Organizations for an Information-Rich World 1971 經濟學家對美國通脹數據的質量提出質疑2025



Designing Organizations for an Information-Rich World 1971 經濟學家對美國通脹數據的質量提出質疑2025

經濟學家對美國通脹數據的質量提出質疑
美國勞工統計局表示,人員短缺影響了其進行大規模月度調查的能力。一些經濟學家開始質疑近期美國通脹數據的準確性。
Designing Organizations for an Information-Rich World
Gwern.net
https://gwern.net › doc › design › 1971-simon

Simon has put before us the problem of attention overload. The popu- lation of the world doubles every thirty-five to forty years. Since most of these people ...

2025年6月1日 星期日

Some papers of Dr. Deming On statistical techniques in industry as a natural resource,1950? vs AI "創作"的作品 2025





There are numerous other writings by Dr. Deming in the National Archives, The Library of Congress Manuscript Division in Washington, DC. An information form is being developed for this web page to access this restricted collection.

___ #63: Observations on the 1946 elections in Greece, by Deming, Jessen, Kempthorne, Daly, Amer. Sociological Rev., vol.14, 1949: pp.11-16
___ #65: On a method of estimating birth and death rates and extent of registration, by C. Chandrasekar and W. Edwards Deming, J. Amer. Stat. Assoc., vol.44, 1949: pp.101-115
___ #70: On an important limitation to the use of data from samples, by Morris H. Hansen and W. Edwards Deming, Bulletin de l'institut international de statistique, Bern 1950: pp.214-219
___ #78a: On statistical techniques in industry as a natural resource, Bulletin of International Statistical Institute, vol. xxxiii: Part v
___ #79: Sampling in a government statistical system, Grundfragen der Vorbereitungsarbeit eines deutschen Mikrozensus, Statistisches Bundesamt, Wiesbasen, July 1953
___ #80: A statistical test of significance applied to a sociological problem: variation in accident rates from motor vehicles, by W. Edwards Deming, Josephine D. Cunningham, and A.D. Battey, Amer. Sociological Rev., vol.17, No.6, Dec. 1952: pp.755-761

 #84A: Sobre la presentacion como evidencial legal de los resultados de encuestas por muestras, American Statistical Association, Chicago, 29 December 1952

___ #81: On the distinction between enumerative and analytic surveys, J. Amer. Stat. Assoc., vol.48, 1953: pp.244-255
___ #82: Statistical techniques and international trade, J. of Marketing, vol.xvii, 1953: pp.428-433
___ #82b: Tecnicas Estadisticas y Comercio Internacional
___ #83: Management's responsibility for the use of statistical techniques in industry, Advanced Management, vol.xviii, 1953: pp.8-12

___
___ #86: On the necessity of presenting consumer preferences as predictions, J. of Marketing, vol.xviii, No.1, July 1953: pp.1-5
___ #87: On a probability mechanism to attain an economic balance between the error of response and the bias of nonresponse, J. Amer. Stat. Assoc., vol.48, 1953: pp.743-772
___ #89: Die Verantwortung der Betriebsfuhrung fur die Anwendung Statistischer Methoden in der deutschen Industrie, Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv (Kiel), vol.71, 1953: pp.234-250
___ #90: A career in statistical Administration, NYU Graduate School of Business Administration, August 1953


___ #84: On the presentation of the results of sample surveys as legal evidence, J. Amer. Stat. Assoc., vol.49, 1954: pp.814-825

___ #91: On the simplifications of sampling design through replication with equal probabilities and without stages, J. Amer. Stat. Assoc., vol.51, March 1956: pp.24-53
___ #92: On the possible types of sampling unit in the last stage of selection in a probability sample, Advertising Research Foundation, 1955
___ #93: On the contributions of statistical standards to law and accounting, Current Business Studies, Graduate School of Business Administration, New York University, No.19, Oct. 1954: pp.14-32
___ #94: On the use of theory, Industrial Quality Control, vol.xiii, No.1, July 1956, being an address delivered upon receipt of the Shewhart Medal at the 10th annual meeting of the American Society for Quality Control, Montreal, 7 June 1956
___ #98: On some of the necessary ingredients of statistical standards of sampling, Transactions of the American Society for Quality Control, Detroit, 24 May 1957
___ #99: Statistical techniques as a natural resource, 6th Annual Award of Deming Prize
___ #100: Standards of probability sampling for legal evidence, Current Business Studies Special Report
___ #102: On the problem of matching lists by samples, by W. Edwards Deming and Gerald J. Glasser, J. Amer. Stat. Assoc., vol.54, 1959: pp.403-415
___ #104: Principles of professional statistical practice, Annals of Mathematical Statistics, vol.36, 1965: pp.1883-1900
___ #105: On some new methods and concepts in sampling, Science in Management, American Society for Quality Control, Washington, 5 march 1959, pp.89-96
___ #107: Uncertainties in statistical data and their relation to the design and management of statistical surveys and experiments, Proceedings of the International Statistical Institute, Tokyo, June 1960
___ #108: Some stratified sampling plans in replicated designs, Estadistica, 1960
___ #109: Design of a replicated sample to measure the change in value of an inventory, Proceedings of the International Statistical Institute, Tokyo, June 1960
___ #110: An application of a replicated national sample in consumer research, Am. Society for Quality Control, Philadelphia, 5 June 1961
___ #110: Mise en practique de l'echantillennage a l'echelon national dans une enquete sur les consommateurs, Revue de Statisique Applique, 1962, vol.x, no.1
___ #111: Some statistical principles for efficient design of surveys and experiments, being Chapter 5 in Kallmann's GENETICS IN PSYCHIATRY (Grune and Stratton, New York, 1962)
___ #112: On the correction of mathematical bias by use of replicated designs, an invited paper for Festschrift an Herrn Professor Dr. Hans Kellerer, Sonderband Metrika, 1962, pp.37-42
___ #113: On some of the contributions of interpenetrating networks of samples, an invited paper in honor of P.C. Mahalanobis's 70th birthday, Sankhya, vol.24, 1963
___ #114: On a statistical formulation of variances in experimentation with twins, NY State Psychiatric Institute
___ #118: On the use of sampling in management and research, I.C.C. Practitioners Journal, vol.xxxi, No.2, 1963: pp.135-147
___ #119: Quelques methodes de sondage, Revue de Statistique Appliquee, vol.xxi, pp.11-55 (Paris 1964)
___ #120: Some responsibilities of a statistician, Industrial Quality Control, vol.xx, No.9, March 1964
___ #121: Some remarks on recent advances in the statistical control of quality in Japan, Address delivered at a meeting of the American Society of Quality Control at Stanford University, September 12, 1964

___ #121A: Some remarks on recent advances in the statistical control of quality in Japan, Reprinted from Sankhya: The Indian Journal of Statistics, Series B, Vol. 28, Parts 1&2, 1966
___ #122: Theory of surveys to estimate a roving population, by W. Edwards Deming and Nathan Keyfitz, World Population Congress, Belgrade, 30 August 1965
___ #124: A review of regression estimators, by W. Edwards Deming and Morris H. Hansen, Festschrift an Herrn Professor Wagenfuhr, Universitat Tubingen, 1966
___ #125: Code of professional conduct, Reprinted from Sankhya: The Indian Journal of Statistics, Series B, Vol. 28, Parts 1&2, 1961
___ #127: What happened in Japan? Industrial Quality Control, vol.24, No.2, August 1967, pp.89-93
___ #128: On a recursion formula for the proportion of persons having a first admission as schizophrenic, Behavioral Science, vol.13, No.6, Nov. 1968
___ #129: A Markovian analysis of the life of newspaper subscriptions, by W. Edwards Deming and Gerald J. Glasser, Management Science, vol.14, 1968
___ #130: Interaction measurements in psychiatric patients with early total deafness, by Kenneth Z. Altshuler and W. Edwards Deming, Archives of General Psychiatry, vol.17, September 1967
___ #131: Sample surveys, International Encyclopedia of the Social Sciences (The Macmillan Company and the Free Press), vol.13, 1968: pp.594-612
___ #133: Boundaries of statistical inference, May 2, 1969
___ #134: On a statistical procedure for study of accounts receivable in motor freight, by W. Edwards Deming and T. Nelson Grice, read at a meeting of the American Statistical Association in Pittsburgh, August 1968: Management Accounting, vol.51, March 1970: pp.17-21
___ #134A: An efficient procedure for audit of accounts receivable, by W. Edward Deming and T. Nelson Grice, Management Accounting, March 1970
___ #135: Changes in fertility rates of schizophrenic patients in New York State, by L. Erlenmeyer-Kimling, Susan Nicol, John D. Rainer, and W. Edwards Deming, American Journal of Psychiatry, vol.125, January 1969: pp.916-927
___ #137: Statistical control of quality in Japan, ICQC, 1969 Tokyo
___ #138: A further account of the idiots savants, experts with the calendar, by William A Horwitz, W. Edwards Deming, and Robert F. Winter, American Journal of Psychiatry, vol.126, 3 September 1969: pp.160-163
___ #141: On variances of estimators of a total population under several procedures of sampling, Reprinted from Contributions To Applied Statistics, 1976
___ #142: Some points about standard error, An address delivered to the Marketing Research Council in New York on September 17, 1971.
___ #143: Some theory for the influence of the inspector and environmental conditions, with an example, by W. Edwards Deming and Morris H. Hansen, Statistica Neerlandica, vol.26, 1972: pp.101-112
___ #147: Statistician's report to management, Quality Progress, July 1972, vol.v, no.7 (In Dutch in the journal Sigma, Amsterdam; in French, in the Journal Qualite et Fiabilite, Paris)
___ #147A: Report to management, Industrial Quality Control, Vol.6, 1972

___ #148: The logic of evaluation, being Chapter 4 of the book, Handbook of Evaluation Research, by Elmer L. Struening and Marcia Guttentag (Sage Publications, 1975), vol.1, pp.53-67

___ #145: On probability as a basis for action, an address delivered at the American Statistical Association, Montreal, 13-17 August 1972. Published in the American Statistician, vol.29, 1975: pp.146-152

___ #149: On some statistical aids toward economic production, reprinted from Interfaces, vol.5, no.4, August 1975

___ #151: On trends in the diagnosis of schizophrenia, by Judy Kuriansky, W. Edwards Deming, and Barry Gurland, American Journal of Psychiatry, vol.131, pp.402-408

___ #153: On the use of judgment samples, Statistical Applications of Research (Union of Japanese Scientists and Engineers, Tokyo), vol.23, 1976: pp.25-31. Delivered at the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Tokyo, November 1975

___ #154: My view of quality control in Japan, for the 25th anniversary of the Deming Prize, Reports of Statistical Application Research, Tokyo, vol.22, June 1975: pp.73-80


___ #156: An essay on screening, or on two-phase sampling, applied to surveys of a community, International Statistical Review, vol.45, 1977: pp.29-37. Published also in the book by Martin Roth and Valerie Cowie, Pschiatry, Genetics and Pathology, A Tribute to Eliot Slater (Gaskell Press, London 1979), pp.178-187
___ #158: On a rational relationship for certain costs of handling motor freight, I. over the platform, Transportation Journal, vol.17, no.4, 1978: pp.5-13
___ #159: On a rational relationship for certain costs of handling motor freight, II. stop-time at pickup and delivery, Transportation Journal, vol.18, no.2, 1979: pp.79-85
___ #160: Some contributions to statistical inference and practice, being a chapter in the book by Eugene I. Burdock entitled QUANTITATIVE TECHNIQUES FOR THE EVALUATION OF THE BEHAVIOR OF PSYCHIATRIC PATIENTS (Marcel Kekker, Inc., New York, 1979)
___ #161: On a problem in standards of auditing from the viewpoint of statistical practice, Journal of Accounting, Auditing, and Finance, vol.2, no.3, Spring 1979: pp.197-208
___ #166: Principles of professional statistical practice, reprinted from Kotz-Johnson, Encyclopedia of Statistical Sciences, 1986, vol.7
___ #X4: So You Want to be a Statistician

網誌存檔