補充William W. Scherkenbach2008年台北的演講：Clarence Irving Lewis，Charles Sanders Peirce 的推論模式，EINSTEIN'S DREAMS

2008年，Bill 在台北的演講，關於知識的理論，當時翻譯得很不理想：約第37~39分鐘。

現在補充些資料，

266 Profound Knowledge: A Framework for Change 2008-Oct-16 William W. Scherkenbach

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G0ZlXUYg-bQ&t=2742s


----
Han Ching,

I thought is was well known that Einstein had a dream in which he followed an object in an elevator approaching the speed of light.  I learned more about it from a very interesting book by Leshan and Margenau called “Einstein’s Space and Van Gogh’s Sky”.  I have not heard of the novel by Allan Lightman.  Is it a good read?

Keep on learning and making a difference…and having fun

Bill

我搞錯了
談到愛因斯坦之夢，很可能指小說：童元方 有翻譯。

Albert Einstein's Theory of Relativity was introduced on this day in 1905.

"Suppose time is a circle, bending back on itself. The world repeats itself, precisely, endlessly.
For the most part, people do not know they will live their lives over. Traders do not know that they will make the same bargain again and again. Politicians do not know that they will shout from the same lectern an infinite number of times in the cycle of times. Parents treasure the first laugh from their child as if they will not hear it again."
--from EINSTEIN'S DREAMS by Alan Lightman

ABOUT EINSTEIN’S DREAMS

A modern classic, Einstein’s Dreams is a fictional collage of stories dreamed by Albert Einstein in 1905, about time, relativity and physics. As the defiant but sensitive young genius is creating his theory of relativity, a new conception of time, he imagines many possible worlds. In one, time is circular, so that people are fated to repeat triumphs and failures over and over. In another, there is a place where time stands still, visited by lovers and parents clinging to their children. In another, time is a nightingale, sometimes trapped by a bell jar.

Now translated into thirty languages, Einstein’s Dreams has inspired playwrights, dancers, musicians, and painters all over the world. In poetic vignettes, it explores the connections between science and art, the process of creativity, and ultimately the fragility of human existence.
Read more HERE: https://www.penguinrandomhouse.com/…/einsteins-dreams-by-a…/

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Clarence Irving Lewis (April 12, 1883 – February 3, 1964), usually cited as C. I. Lewis, was an American academic philosopher and the founder of conceptual pragmatism.

1929. Mind and the World Order: Outline of a Theory of Knowledge. Dover reprint, 1956, link via Internet Archive
這本書現在可在網路看到

Bill 說他的老師及其推論模式


Charles Sanders Peirce (/pɜːrs/,^[9][10] PURSS; September 10, 1839 – April 19, 1914) was an American philosopher, logician, mathematician, and scientist who is sometimes known as "the father of pragmatism".

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Charles_Sanders_Peirce

Modes of inference

Borrowing a brace of concepts from Aristotle, Peirce examined three basic modes of inference—abduction, deduction, and induction—in his "critique of arguments" or "logic proper". Peirce also called abduction "retroduction", "presumption", and, earliest of all, "hypothesis". He characterized it as guessing and as inference to an explanatory hypothesis. He sometimes expounded the modes of inference by transformations of the categorical syllogism Barbara (AAA), for example in "Deduction, Induction, and Hypothesis" (1878).^[141] He does this by rearranging the rule (Barbara's major premise), the case (Barbara's minor premise), and the result (Barbara's conclusion):

Deduction. Rule: All the beans from this bag are white. Case: These beans are beans from this bag. ${\displaystyle \therefore }$ Result: These beans are white.

Induction. Case: These beans are [randomly selected] from this bag. Result: These beans are white. ${\displaystyle \therefore }$ Rule: All the beans from this bag are white.

Hypothesis (Abduction). Rule: All the beans from this bag are white. Result: These beans [oddly] are white. ${\displaystyle \therefore }$ Case: These beans are from this bag.

查爾斯·桑德斯·皮爾士是美國的通才，實用主義學家。 維基百科

出生： 1839 年 9 月 10 日，美國麻薩諸塞州劍橋

逝世： 1914 年 4 月 19 日，美國賓夕凡尼亞米爾福德

學歷： 哈佛工程與應用科學學院 (1861 年–1863 年)， 哈佛學院 (1862 年)， 哈佛學院

受影響者： 約翰·杜威， 威廉·詹姆士， 卡爾·波普爾， 威拉德·范奧曼·奎因， 更多

啟發者： 伊曼努爾·康德， 格奧爾格·威廉·弗里德里希·黑格爾， 更多

The U.S. Justice Department has expanded its investigation into the aircraft manufacturer’s 737 Max jet to include the production of its 787 Dreamliner jet,FAA發現波音737 MAX存在新軟件問題。the Boeing 737 Max "was fatally flawed and should never have been approved." . Boeing made a “mistake” : delayed fix of defective 737 MAX warning light for three years: U.S. lawmakers. Boeing Built Deadly Assumptions Into 737 Max, Blind to a Late Design Change.Boeing Ordered to Replace 737 Wing Components Prone to Cracking

Boeing: The U.S. Justice Department has expanded its investigation into the aircraft manufacturer’s 737 Max jet to include the production of its 787 Dreamliner jet, according to two people familiar with the matter. In April, The Times detailed allegations of flawed quality control and security lapses at the Dreamliner production plant in South Carolina.

波音再遇挫：美國聯邦航空管理局稱發現了737 Max客機的一個新問題，波音必須在飛機重新投入使用前予以糾正。 

FAA發現波音737 MAX存在新軟件問題

波音公司和美國聯邦監管機構表示，已確認737 MAX的一個新軟件問題，進一步推遲了這款陷入困境的飛機復飛的過程。

Boeing’s 737 Max Suffers Setback in Flight Simulator Test By NATALIE KITROEFF and TIFFANY HSU In at least one instance, an F.A.A. pilot was unable to quickly and easily follow Boeing’s emergency procedures to regain control of the plane.

Retired Capt. Chesley "Sully" Sullenberger told a congressional subcommittee Wednesday that the Boeing 737 Max "was fatally flawed and should never have been approved." The panel is examining if Boeing's rush to develop the latest version of the popular Max 737 jets and the FAA's new aircraft certification process played a role in two recent plane crashes.

Boeing: Dennis Muilenburg, the chief executive, acknowledged that the company had made a “mistake” in how it handled a cockpit warning light on the 737 Max. He spoke on the eve of the Paris Air Show, one of the most important sales events for aircraft manufacturers around the world.

Reuters
Boeing Co learned that a cockpit warning light on its 737 MAX jetliner was defective in 2017 but decided to defer fixing it until 2020, U.S. lawmakers said on Friday.



REUTERS.COM
Boeing delayed fix of defective 737 MAX warning light for three years: U.S. lawmakers



















Airlines must inspect 312 of Boeing’s 737 range, including some of the grounded 737 Max, because they have wing components that are prone to cracking, U.S. regulators say.
BLOOMBERG.COM

Boeing Ordered to Replace 737 Wing Components Prone to Cracking

Boeing Built Deadly Assumptions Into 737 Max, Blind to a Late Design Change By JACK NICAS, NATALIE KITROEFF, DAVID GELLES and JAMES GLANZ A system that doomed two flights was expected to engage only rarely and originally used two sensors. Critical decisions were based on those factors even when they no longer applied, employees said.

Herbert Simon的 心理學的、意義；應用

2018年6月29日下午2:17 · 

我對於將論文集成書的朋友，總是推薦用Herbert Simon的作法：將書分成幾組，各組之前再補序言，使其成系統。

:鍾漢清《台灣戴明圈 2019》檳榔 Japan’s one-page appeal to Trump, in red, white and blue.

朋友們，

我今天心血來潮，想編出如題《台灣戴明圈 2019》的一本 報告書(10月中出版)，請Peter 趕快寫下。
各位朋友如果有心得，歡迎您給我，截稿日期8月底。

說明《台戴明圈》是 們十幾個人在2002年發行的月刊，發行13期。

之後，我到過2家鞋廠當顧問，各一年多，也發行內部的NEWSLETTERS.

2008年~2010年，發行過4本書。

2019年，託 李惠銘兄的"GAB(跨域治理)校長學校" (成員三百多中小學校長)之福，我與Peter 在元月和本月，都去與惠銘兄合上各2天的課 (內容大體與《戴明博士四日談》相同，內容與戴明《新經濟學》以及《戴明博士文選》為主。

【漢清講堂 

戴明哲學】十月十三日(Sun.)精彩場次

閱讀，除了用讀的以外，
我們還想說給您聽……

《經典》雜誌自一九九八年創刊以來，持續為時代做見證、為人類寫歷史，至今榮獲五十七座含金鼎獎在內的海內外獎項肯定。【經典大講堂】邀請在發現、探索、人文、關懷不同面向的專家學者、作者、攝影師、文字記者，在周末與您共享一場深度的文化之旅！
　
9：00~ 9：30 

《台灣戴明圈 2019》我們的故事、世界戴明圈 (偏重美國 The Deming Institute)

鍾漢清(華人戴明學院)

9：40 ~10 : 10 

橡皮圈遊戲的學習史

熊維強0

 10:2 ~ 10：

()

　
主辦單位│
贊助單位│

Jean Chen

「第二屆數學起承轉合教學系統及課程模組」工作坊，今起在永安國小登場。連續五天工作坊，包括兩天初階培訓課程以及三天進階培訓課程，吸引全國來自各縣市超過100位教師自主報名參加，學員中更有來自金門、花東的老師，看到遠到而來的老師們在暑假第一天就拖著行李箱參加研習，真令人敬佩！
工作坊的課程由「起承轉合(EECC)」教學系統創始人陳維民老師帶領，強調數學領悟的重要性，「唯有領悟，才有帶著走的能力」，「能力要用得出來，才擁有素養」。工作坊引導現場教師在數學課程理論與實務進行專業對話，在實踐過程中，彼此反思、分享、回饋與發表，提升教師教學品質與學生學習成效。
「起承轉合教學系統及課程模組」將生活情境與學生學習內容聯結，除了能提高學生學習樂趣，也能讓學生具體了解數學邏輯概念，期待五天工作坊能夠帶給老師們豐富的數學饗宴!
#特別感謝詹科長和丁課督蒞臨指導

上課用圖：台灣應該考量檳榔

Alcohol’s position at the top of the chart is partly the result of its widespread use, which causes greater harms to others

紐約時報

G20 Summit Live Updates: Meeting With Putin, Trump Makes Light of Election Meddling

“Don’t meddle in the election,” a smiling President Trump told the Russian leader, after a reporter asked if he would raise the issue.

RIGHT NOW

Mr. Trump said he expected “productive” talks on Saturday with China’s leader, Xi Jinping.

Here’s what you need to know:

• A lighthearted message for Putin about election interference.
• Trump says he’s optimistic about a China deal.
• But China is looking for other options.
• In a meeting with Merkel, Trump weighs in on the Democrats.

Japan’s one-page appeal to Trump, in red, white and blue.

One thing world leaders have learned is how to play up to President Trump when he visits. In the latest example, Prime Minister Shinzo Abe of Japan at their meeting on Friday gave the president a one-page map and chart — rendered in red, white and blue — showing recent Japanese investments in the United States.

“Japan has FIVE Additional Investments in JUST ONE MONTH,” the sheet declared with Trumpian boldness.

The five investments were all pretty small-bore — $2 million for job training in Michigan and $3 million for 34 new jobs in Alabama, for example. The biggest one was $100 million financing 150 new jobs at a plant in Kentucky.

But the details matter less than the point — Mr. Abe, like other world leaders, has come to understand that the way to appeal to Mr. Trump is to tell him they are spending money in the United States. Mr. Trump thanked Mr. Abe for “sending” auto companies to the United States. “They’re building magnificent plants,” he said.

Prime Minister Shinzo Abe of Japan gave Mr. Trump a one-page map and chart — rendered in red, white and blue — showing recent Japanese investments in the United States.CreditMichael Crowley/The New York Times

轉 DW：(德國)政府專機故障不斷德國一氣新訂3架 (空巴？)

政府專機故障不斷德國一氣新訂3架

事故、故障、延誤——近年來，乘坐聯邦國防軍飛行值勤隊飛機的政界要們常常提心吊膽，擔心這些問題哪天輪到自己。現在，德國當局決定買幾架全新飛機，一舉解決事故頻發的問題。

（德國之聲中文網）據報導，聯邦德國政府將撥款2.4億歐元採購3架全新的中程客機，來裝備聯邦國防軍飛行執勤隊。

德國編輯部網絡（RND）援引聯邦財政部致聯邦議院預算委員會的一份機密信函報導說，鑑於飛行值勤隊發生一連串中程客機事件，截至今年秋季，柏林將從加拿大飛機製造商龐巴迪那裡購買新機。

報導稱，為購買新機，國防部提出一項計劃外開支申請，並得到了聯邦財政部的同意。國防部強調指出，考慮到出現了未能預計的事故，若不實施計劃外採購新機項目，聯邦國防軍勢礙難確保完成"載飛政府/議會人員"的任務。

本月初， 聯邦總統施泰因邁爾因政府專機駕駛艙玻璃出現裂紋而不得不轉乘一架私人飛機，而今年一月，施泰因邁爾才因政府專機"台奧多爾·豪斯號"空客340氣壓問題而滯留埃塞俄比亞。

去年11月，因政府專機通信系統出現部分故障，默克爾總理和肖爾茨財長延後抵達布宜諾斯艾利斯出席G20峰會。

馬斯外長最倒霉

不過，最頻繁遭遇政府專機故障的還要數外長馬斯。短短3個月內，由於飛機出故障，這位政界要人竟先後延誤了3次。

據國防部表示，對政府和議員中程搭載飛行的需求總體增加，而隨著2020下半年德國成為歐盟輪值主席國，相關需求還會另外增加。

德國編輯部網絡援引聯邦經濟部的內部文件報導說，為保障順利實施，"至少必須有4架中程飛機隨時處於待命狀態"。

凝煉/王凡（德新社，路透社）

從戴明到季辛吉 Thanks in QUALITY, PRODUCTIVITY, AND COMPETITIVE POSITION

"COMPETITIVE POSITION"一詞，在戴明博士的日本、台灣講學之講義中都用過。QUALITY, PRODUCTIVITY, AND COMPETITIVE POSITION 1986年改版  書名感為 Out of the Crisis.



"COMPETITIVE POSITION"用語，在 On China by Henry Kissinger，2012 的第546頁等用到。











As one of the foremost minds in creating the concept of continuous improvement, In this 373 page book, Deming writes about how to build quality productivity and competitive position. Includes several graphs and charts.

• Paperback: 373 頁
• 出版商：Massachusetts Inst Technology； 1st 版本 (1982年6月1日)
• 語言： English
• ISBN-10: 0911379002
• ISBN-13: 978-0911379006

1986年改版

Out of the Crisis (English) 

W. Edwards Deming (Author)

Thanks in QUALITY, PRODUCTIVITY, AND COMPETITIVE POSITION

"I am thankful for unusual privilege to work as apprentice to a numer of great men, such as Walter A. Shewhart, founder of the statistical control of quality, and with Harold F. Dodge, and with George Edwards, all of the Bell Telephone Laboratories, all noe deceased. Equally valued is apprenticeship under other esteemed colleagues, such as Morris H Hansen, Philip M. Hauser, Frederick Franklin Stephan, General Leslie E. Simon, Eugene L. Grant, Holbrook Working, Franz J. Kaliman, P. C. Mahalanobis.

This book could never have seen print without the dedicated skill and perseverance of my secretary Cecelia S. Kilian. She has assisted me now 28 years in a lively statistical practice, and has constructed out of scribblings on scribblings written on my lap on aeroplanes one version after another of notes to use as text for my seminars, and finally this book as the reader finds it.

Help has come also from many kind friends that have read pages of text in earlier versions, with suggestings for clarity. Notes of thanks appear in the text for specific contributions.

--QUALITY, PRODUCTIVITY, AND COMPETITIVE POSITION by W. Edwards Deming, 1982, p. iv.